Bank of America Analyst Significantly Lowers Honeywell Stock Forecast: Here's the Reason Behind It
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 18 2025
0mins
Source: TipRanks
Honeywell Stock Downgrade: Honeywell's stock fell 1.2% after Bank of America analyst Andrew Obin downgraded it from "Buy" to "Sell," significantly lowering the price target from $265 to $205 due to disappointing performance from its spun-off company, Solstice Advanced Materials.
Challenges Post-Separation: The separation of Honeywell's refrigerants and materials business into Solstice has not met investor expectations, with Solstice shares declining from over $50 to $41.58, indicating that the anticipated value creation is not materializing.
Limited Growth Outlook: Obin forecasts limited earnings growth for Honeywell's core business through 2026, which diminishes the appeal of the stock despite its relatively low valuation compared to competitors like GE Aerospace and Rockwell Automation.
Analyst Consensus: Despite the downgrade, the consensus among 13 analysts remains a "Moderate Buy," with eight recommending a Buy and an average 12-month price target of $247.58, suggesting a potential upside of over 28% from the current price.
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Analyst Views on HON
Wall Street analysts forecast HON stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 231.180
Low
195.00
Averages
235.07
High
262.00
Current: 231.180
Low
195.00
Averages
235.07
High
262.00
About HON
Honeywell International Inc. is a global, pure-play automation company. The Company serves the building, industrial, and process sectors with a portfolio of services, solutions, and products supported by its Honeywell Technologies Accelerator operating system and Honeywell Technologies Forge intelligence layer. It provides solutions in Building Automation, Process Automation and Technology and Industrial Automation segments across refineries, mines, plants, power grids, data centers, hospitals and others. Its Building Automation segment develops the products, software, solutions and technologies that enable building owners and occupants to ensure their facilities are safe and energy efficient. Its Process Automation and Technology segment provides end-to-end automation and technology solutions. Its industrial automation solutions that deliver sustainable and secure operations for customers in the refining, petrochemicals, life sciences, utilities and warehouse and logistics segments.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Demand-Driven Growth: Solstice specializes in specialty chemicals for industries such as semiconductors and healthcare, with increasing demand for its thermal management and refrigerant products in AI data centers driving growth, reflecting the urgent need for advanced computing solutions in the sector.
- Strong Financial Performance: Element Solutions reported over 40% revenue growth in the first quarter of this year, primarily driven by AI-related demand, showcasing its robust performance in the electronics manufacturing sector and enhancing the appeal of the merger.
- Rising Stock Trends: The stock prices of Solstice and Element Solutions have surged by approximately 65% and 75% this year, respectively, indicating market confidence in both companies' future growth potential, with the merger likely to further enhance their market position and competitiveness.
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See More
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- Honeywell Technologies Performance: According to the latest financial data, Honeywell Technologies achieved a 3.5% revenue growth and a 7% earnings per share growth in 2025, with management guiding for potential double-digit earnings growth in its core business, indicating stability and growth potential.
- Aerospace Business Heat: Honeywell Aerospace's stock has become popular post-spin-off, currently trading at around 27 times forward earnings, which, while cheaper than GE Aerospace and Boeing, carries high expectations that could lead to significant price drops with any minor setbacks, necessitating caution from investors.
- Solstice's Potential: Solstice Advanced Materials has surged nearly 66% since its spin-off, with exposure to both AI and nuclear energy sectors making it a dark horse; despite a recent pullback, if future growth aligns with expectations, it could attract more investor interest.
See More
Solstice in Talks to Merge with Element Solutions, Valued at $27 Billion
- Merger Talks Progress: Solstice Advanced Materials is in discussions to merge with Element Solutions, potentially creating a combined company valued at approximately $27 billion, including debt, with a deal likely to be finalized this week, highlighting both companies' focus on the rapidly growing specialty chemicals market.
- Demand-Driven Growth: Solstice specializes in specialty chemicals for industries such as semiconductors and healthcare, with increasing demand for its thermal management and refrigerant products in AI data centers driving growth, reflecting the urgent need for advanced computing solutions in the sector.
- Strong Financial Performance: Element Solutions reported over 40% revenue growth in the first quarter of this year, primarily driven by AI-related demand, showcasing its robust performance in the electronics manufacturing sector and enhancing the appeal of the merger.
- Rising Stock Trends: The stock prices of Solstice and Element Solutions have surged by approximately 65% and 75% this year, respectively, indicating market confidence in both companies' future growth potential, with the merger likely to further enhance their market position and competitiveness.
See More
Samsung Electronics Earnings Trigger Market Sell-Off
- Impressive Earnings: Samsung Electronics reported preliminary earnings with a 129% year-over-year revenue increase and a 19-fold surge in operating profits, driven by strong global demand for AI hardware; however, the market's sell-off indicates investor concerns about future growth expectations.
- Severe Market Reaction: Despite Samsung's remarkable performance, its stock fell 10% at the close of the Korean market, leading to significant declines in U.S. semiconductor stocks, with Micron, Intel, and Lam Research down 7.2%, 10.6%, and 7.7% respectively, exerting considerable pressure on the Nasdaq index.
- Widespread Industry Impact: Even within the S&P 500, where gains in healthcare stocks partially offset tech declines, industrial giants Caterpillar and Honeywell saw their stocks drop 5.8% and 8.5%, respectively, erasing a total of 355 points from the Dow, reflecting a broader market pessimism towards tech stocks.
- Uncertain Future Outlook: The market's tepid response to Samsung's strong earnings suggests that investors perceive the current peak as a potential signal for future declines, with expectations of continued volatility in the semiconductor sector, particularly ahead of upcoming earnings reports and guidance from other chip companies.
See More
Samsung's 19-Fold Profit Surge Raises Market Concerns
- Profit Surge: Samsung Electronics reported a staggering 129% year-over-year revenue increase and a 19-fold surge in operating profits; however, investors interpreted this as a peak signal for AI demand, resulting in a 10% stock price drop.
- Market Reaction: Despite Samsung's impressive results, the semiconductor sector suffered as rivals Micron, Intel, and Lam Research saw stock declines of 7.2%, 10.6%, and 7.7% respectively, indicating investor concerns about future growth prospects.
- Nasdaq Performance: SpaceX's debut as a Nasdaq-100 component coincided with a 5.4% drop, exacerbating the overall decline in tech stocks, with the Nasdaq Composite falling by 1.3% on the same day.
- Oil Price Fluctuation: Following a tanker fire in the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices rose by 2.3%, yet negotiations between the U.S. and Iran remain stalled, highlighting the geopolitical risks impacting market stability.
See More
Market Update: Tech Stocks Retreat, Healthcare Sector Gains
- Tech Stock Retreat: On Tuesday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell by 0.70% and 1.5%, respectively, primarily dragged down by technology and momentum stocks, particularly semiconductor firms like Advanced Micro, Broadcom, and Micron, which faced sell-offs following Samsung's disappointing preliminary second-quarter earnings, prompting investors to seek refuge in safer sectors like healthcare and financials.
- Healthcare Sector Strength: Amidst a broader market downturn, the healthcare sector is thriving, with Johnson & Johnson's stock rising 3.6% on Tuesday and nearly 30% year-to-date, while Eli Lilly's shares gained 3% after JPMorgan raised its price target from $1,300 to $1,400, driven by strong GLP-1 sales and international demand for its weight-loss drug Mounjaro.
- Financial Sector Performance: The financial sector has been the best performer this month, with Wells Fargo's shares up 6.6% over the past month ahead of earnings next Tuesday, despite being down 5.3% year-to-date, as Jim Cramer suggests it could be a breakout quarter, emphasizing the need for strong performance after previous disappointments.
- Rapid Trade Review: In the rapid-fire trading segment of the video, stocks mentioned included Fiserv, Vertex, Walmart, and Rivian, highlighting the club's focus on a diversified portfolio while underscoring the importance of vigilance amidst market volatility.
See More
Honeywell's New Landscape Post-Spinoff
- Formation of Honeywell Technologies: Following the spinoff of its aerospace division, Honeywell has transformed into Honeywell Technologies, focusing on industrial automation with a market cap of $73 billion, and is expected to achieve double-digit earnings growth, showcasing stable profitability and growth potential.
- Strong Performance of Aerospace Division: Honeywell Aerospace has become a hot stock post-spinoff, currently priced at $237.93, and while trading at a 27 times forward earnings ratio, it remains attractive compared to competitors like GE Aerospace at 50 times, though it faces risks from high growth expectations.
- Potential of Solstice: Solstice Advanced Materials has surged 66% since its spinoff, with a market cap of $11 billion; despite not raising guidance recently, its exposure to AI and nuclear energy positions it as a dark horse, with projected earnings growth exceeding 20%.
- Prospects of Quantum Computing: Honeywell's quantum computing venture, Quantinuum, reached a market cap of $19.5 billion post-IPO, with Honeywell holding 48.1% of shares; despite not generating material revenue yet, its future potential attracts investor interest and could provide Honeywell with additional capital growth opportunities.
See More
Investment Opportunities Post Honeywell Spin-Off
- New Structure Post Spin-Off: Honeywell completed its spin-off on June 29, resulting in four independent companies including Honeywell Technologies and Honeywell Aerospace, allowing investors to choose among different business segments, which could lead to significant price volatility for some stocks and impact investor decisions.
- Honeywell Technologies Performance: According to the latest financial data, Honeywell Technologies achieved a 3.5% revenue growth and a 7% earnings per share growth in 2025, with management guiding for potential double-digit earnings growth in its core business, indicating stability and growth potential.
- Aerospace Business Heat: Honeywell Aerospace's stock has become popular post-spin-off, currently trading at around 27 times forward earnings, which, while cheaper than GE Aerospace and Boeing, carries high expectations that could lead to significant price drops with any minor setbacks, necessitating caution from investors.
- Solstice's Potential: Solstice Advanced Materials has surged nearly 66% since its spin-off, with exposure to both AI and nuclear energy sectors making it a dark horse; despite a recent pullback, if future growth aligns with expectations, it could attract more investor interest.
See More
