Is a Market Crash on the Horizon?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Source: Fool
- Market Crash Risk: The current Shiller ratio is nearly 42, a level only surpassed once in history, which was followed by a market crash and three years of losses, prompting investors to remain vigilant and prepared for potential risks.
- JPMorgan's Strong Performance: As the largest bank in the U.S., JPMorgan reported a 10% year-over-year revenue increase and a 13% rise in net income in Q1 2026, with its robust balance sheet and 1.78% dividend yield making it a protective stock during market turmoil.
- Visa's Growth Potential: Visa's revenue grew 17% year-over-year in Q2 2026, with adjusted earnings per share up 20%, and despite inflationary pressures, its business model remains attractive during a market crash, offering a 0.7% dividend yield.
- Berkshire Hathaway's Capital Advantage: With a market cap of $1.1 trillion and nearly $400 billion in cash reserves, Berkshire Hathaway's insurance business positions it to effectively deploy capital during a market crash, seizing investment opportunities as stock prices decline.
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Analyst Views on JPM
Wall Street analysts forecast JPM stock price to rise
19 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 337.720
Low
260.00
Averages
341.38
High
400.00
Current: 337.720
Low
260.00
Averages
341.38
High
400.00
About JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a financial holding company. The Company is engaged in investment banking, financial services for consumers and small businesses, commercial banking, financial transaction processing and asset management. The Company operates through three segments: Consumer & Community Banking (CCB), Commercial & Investment Bank (CIB), and Asset & Wealth Management (AWM). Its CCB segment offers products and services to consumers and small businesses through bank branches, ATMs, digital and telephone banking. Its CIB segment consists of banking and payments and markets and securities services, and offers a suite of investment banking, lending, payments, market-making, financing, custody and securities products and services to a global base of corporate and institutional clients. AWM segment offers investment and wealth management solutions. It offers multi-asset investment management solutions, retirement products and services, brokerage, custody, estate planning, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Historical Trend Warnings: Historical data shows that spikes in IPO activity often precede significant market corrections, as seen in 1999 and 1929, suggesting that the current IPO boom could signal impending economic headwinds, prompting investors to remain vigilant.
- Market Sentiment Analysis: Harvard economist notes that investors typically fund IPO participation by selling other stocks, revealing that for every $1 removed, the total market cap falls by $5, indicating overly optimistic market sentiment and the risk of 'irrational exuberance'.
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- Surge in IPO Fundraising: In 2026, an estimated $260 billion is expected to be raised through IPOs, nearly matching the post-pandemic surge of 2021, indicating that corporate confidence is peaking, which may foreshadow potential market pullback risks.
- Historical Trend Warnings: Historical data shows that spikes in IPO activity often precede significant market corrections, as seen in 1999 and 1929, suggesting that the current IPO boom could signal impending economic headwinds, prompting investors to remain vigilant.
- Market Sentiment Analysis: Harvard economist notes that investors typically fund IPO participation by selling other stocks, revealing that for every $1 removed, the total market cap falls by $5, indicating overly optimistic market sentiment and the risk of 'irrational exuberance'.
- Investment Strategy Advice: Despite the surge in IPOs, investors should analyze market conditions rationally and avoid panic-driven decisions, maintaining composure to assess risks versus rewards in anticipation of potential market fluctuations.
See More
Bank of America Passes Stress Test, Stock Rises
- Strong Stress Test Results: Bank of America excelled in the Fed's 2026 stress tests, being one of 32 financial institutions to pass, which led to a stock price increase of over 10% in June, instilling confidence in investors and indicating future dividend growth.
- Launch of New Payment Product: The bank introduced a new cross-border real-time payments product designed for high-volume, low-value transfers, with expectations that P2P payment demand will rise by 58% and B2C by 132% by 2032, potentially increasing the bank's market share.
- Dividend Growth Expectations: While Bank of America is cautious about announcing dividend increases, the market anticipates it will follow other major banks in raising dividends by at least 10%, which will enhance investor confidence and attract more capital inflows.
- Analyst Price Target Increases: Analysts from Morgan Stanley and Truist Securities raised their price targets for Bank of America to $67 and $64 respectively, both maintaining buy ratings, reflecting optimistic market expectations for the bank's future performance.
See More
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- Strong Stress Test Performance: Bank of America excelled in the Federal Reserve's 2026 stress tests, being one of the 32 financial institutions to pass, which is expected to lead to a dividend increase, further attracting investor interest.
- Significant Stock Price Increase: Following the positive stress test results, Bank of America's stock rose over 10% in June, reflecting market confidence in its financial health and enhancing its position in a competitive financial landscape.
- Launch of New Payment Product: Bank of America introduced a new cross-border real-time payments product designed for high-volume, low-value transfers, with P2P and B2C payment demand projected to grow by 58% and 132% by 2032, respectively, which will further enhance its market share.
- Analyst Price Target Increases: Analysts from Morgan Stanley and Truist Securities raised their price targets for Bank of America to $67 and $64, respectively, indicating a positive outlook on its future performance and reinforcing investor confidence.
See More
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- Successful Financing: SambaNova has successfully raised $1 billion, bringing its valuation to $11 billion, with this funding round led by General Atlantic and participation from Seligman Ventures, T. Rowe Price, and Capital Group, indicating strong investor confidence in AI chip startups.
- Market Positioning: Focused on inference chips and on-premise AI deployments, SambaNova's latest SN50 chip can be deployed in data centers, contrasting sharply with Nvidia's GPU architecture, aiming to meet enterprise demands for fast and cost-effective AI model execution.
- Corporate Collaboration: JPMorgan Chase announced it will deploy SambaNova's systems for on-prem inference to meet its enterprise AI workload needs, a move that not only enhances AI security but also accelerates response times, thereby boosting corporate competitiveness.
- Industry Outlook: The successful financing of SambaNova reflects the strong demand for AI infrastructure in the booming semiconductor industry, particularly in the inference chip sector, which is expected to drive further investment and innovation among startups.
See More
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- Massive Funding Round: SambaNova Systems has raised $1 billion in its latest funding round, bringing its valuation to $11 billion, with General Atlantic leading the investment, indicating strong investor confidence in the AI chip market.
- Strategic Partnerships: Earlier this year, SambaNova secured over $350 million in funding and announced a partnership with Intel, further solidifying its position in the AI inference chip sector.
- Clear Market Positioning: The SN50 chip from SambaNova is designed for data centers to efficiently run large AI models, focusing on on-premise deployments that offer faster and more secure AI solutions, addressing enterprises' data security needs.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: The successful funding round reflects the growing demand for AI chips in the booming semiconductor industry, particularly as enterprise AI workloads continue to increase.
See More
Fiserv's Potential Network Sale Attracts Attention
- Potential Sale Impact: Analysts noted that a sale of Fiserv's STAR or Accel debit network to major banks like JPMorgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, or PNC Financial could significantly enhance these banks' debit economics and be highly accretive to Fiserv's earnings.
- Regulatory Scrutiny Risks: While the potential transaction could yield benefits, Raymond James cautioned that selling the debit card network may attract significant regulatory scrutiny, particularly as it could be viewed as an attempt to circumvent the Durbin Amendment, leading to higher fees for merchants.
- Leadership Transition: Fiserv President Dhivya Suryadevara resigned effective July 7, yet she will remain in a non-executive role until July 31 to facilitate a transition, which may impact the company's strategic direction moving forward.
- Retail Market Reaction: Fiserv's stock garnered a 102% increase in retail attention over the past 24 hours, despite a nearly 20% decline in share price this year, indicating a cautious yet interested sentiment among investors regarding the potential sale.
See More
