Ultrapar Participações Hits Analyst Price Target
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 06 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Current Stock Performance: Ultrapar Participacoes SA's shares have surpassed the average analyst 12-month target price of $4.04, trading at $4.09/share, prompting potential reassessment by analysts regarding future target prices.
Analyst Target Range: The average target price is influenced by various analysts, with estimates ranging from $3.46 to $4.50, indicating differing opinions on the stock's valuation.
Investor Considerations: Investors are encouraged to evaluate whether the current price of $4.09 is a stepping stone to higher targets or if the valuation has become too stretched, suggesting a possible need to sell.
Analyst Ratings Overview: The article references a rating scale from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell) to summarize the overall sentiment of analysts covering Ultrapar Participacoes SA.
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Analyst Views on UGP
Wall Street analysts forecast UGP stock price to fall
1 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 5.450
Low
5.40
Averages
5.40
High
5.40
Current: 5.450
Low
5.40
Averages
5.40
High
5.40
About UGP
Ultrapar Participacoes SA is a Brazil-based company primarily engaged in the automotive fuel retail. The Company operates in five segments: Gas distribution (Ultragaz), which distributes liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to residential, commercial and industrial consumers in the South, Southeast and Northeast regions of Brazil; Fuel distribution (Ipiranga), which operates the distribution and marketing of gasoline, ethanol, diesel, fuel oil, kerosene, natural gas for vehicles and lubricants, as well as provides related activities across the Brazilian territory; Chemicals (Oxiteno), which produces ethylene oxide, as well as its primary derivatives and fatty alcohols; Storage (Ultracargo), which operates liquid bulk terminals, primarily in the Southeast and Northeast regions of Brazil, and Drugstores (Extrafarma), which trades pharmaceutical, hygiene and beauty products through its drugstore chain in the states of Para and Piaui, among others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Ultrapar Shares Rise 4.1% as Oil Prices Surge and BofA Upgrades
- Stock Price Increase: Ultrapar (UGP) rose 4.1% in Wednesday's trading, primarily driven by a surge in crude oil prices, reflecting market optimism about its future performance.
- Upgrade in Rating: Bank of America upgraded Ultrapar's rating from Neutral to Buy, raising the price target from $6.80 to $7.40, anticipating that Q2 results will serve as a major catalyst due to record-high margins and strong free cash flow generation.
- Improved Market Environment: Analysts noted that imported diesel prices above Petrobras support a more favorable margin environment for Ultrapar, with expectations for upward consensus revisions in the second half of the year.
- Investment Risks Eased: Ultrapar has recently withdrawn its bid for a stake in Rumo, alleviating concerns about capital allocation, while the ANP's suspension of LPG reform preserves Ultragaz's strong profitability.
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- Top-Rated Stocks: Ultrapar Participações (UGP) achieves a quant rating of 4.84, classified as a Strong Buy, indicating robust performance in profitability and growth, which may attract investor interest and drive stock price appreciation.
- Strong Performers: Callaway Golf (CALY) and Victoria’s Secret (VSCO) receive quant ratings of 4.68 and 4.64 respectively, suggesting enhanced competitiveness in the market, likely drawing more attention from investors and analysts alike.
- Low-Rated Stocks: Lucid Group (LCID) is rated at 1.04, classified as a Strong Sell, reflecting significant shortcomings in profitability and market performance, which may lead to declining investor confidence and negatively impact stock prices.
- Market Dynamics: As the earnings season concludes, heightened investor focus on quant ratings not only influences short-term investment decisions but may also have profound implications for companies' long-term strategies.
See More
Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. Positioned for Exceptional Growth
- Earnings Growth Potential: Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. has a historical EPS growth rate of 28.3%, with projected EPS growth of 100% this year, significantly surpassing the industry average of 13.5%, indicating strong future profitability that could drive stock price increases.
- Asset Utilization Efficiency: The company's sales-to-total-assets (S/TA) ratio stands at 3.08, meaning it generates $3.08 in sales for every dollar of assets, which is well above the industry average of 0.31, showcasing high efficiency in asset utilization and boosting investor confidence.
- Sales Growth Outlook: Ultrapar's sales are expected to grow by 47.8%, compared to the industry average of just 8.1%, indicating robust growth potential in market demand and product sales, which could lead to increased market share.
- Upward Earnings Estimate Revisions: The current-year earnings estimates for Ultrapar have been revised upward by 26.1% over the past month, reflecting a positive trend that is strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements, further enhancing investor confidence in its future performance.
See More
Ultrapar Reports Significant Net Income Increase in Quarter
- Net Income Growth: Ultrapar Participacoes SA reported a net income of 914 million reais for the quarter, an increase of 551 million reais compared to the same period last year, indicating a significant enhancement in profitability that boosts investor confidence.
- Improved Financial Stability: The company's leverage ratio decreased from 1.7 to 1.5, reflecting enhanced financial stability that provides a stronger foundation for future expansions and investments.
- Market Recovery Signs: Ipiranga, a subsidiary, saw an 8% increase in total volume sold, indicating a gradual market recovery and improved operational performance, which is expected to further drive the company's overall performance.
- Sustainability Initiatives: Ultrapar published its 2025 Sustainability Report and introduced a new 2030 Sustainability Plan, demonstrating a commitment to long-term value creation and corporate sustainability, thereby enhancing its competitive position in the market.
See More
Ultrapar Explores Sale of Ipiranga Stake with BTG Pactual
- Capital Restructuring Plan: Ultrapar (UGP) has engaged investment bank BTG Pactual to manage a potential sale of its stake in Ipiranga, aiming to reallocate capital towards the logistics sector while retaining operational control despite a reduced ownership stake.
- Collaboration with Chevron: Reports indicate that Chevron (CVX) is in advanced talks with Ultrapar to acquire a 30% stake in Ipiranga, which would further solidify the existing joint venture relationship between the two companies in the lubricants business.
- Positive Market Reaction: As energy sentiment improves, Chevron's stock is trading near $190, reflecting investor confidence in the partnership with Ultrapar, which could drive future business expansion for both companies.
- Strategic Implications: This potential deal not only aids Ultrapar in optimizing its capital allocation but also enhances its competitive position in the logistics sector, further advancing the implementation of the company's long-term growth strategy.
See More
Ultrapar Shares Rise 4.1% as Oil Prices Surge and BofA Upgrades
- Stock Price Increase: Ultrapar (UGP) rose 4.1% in Wednesday's trading, primarily driven by a surge in crude oil prices, reflecting market optimism about its future performance.
- Upgrade in Rating: Bank of America upgraded Ultrapar's rating from Neutral to Buy, raising the price target from $6.80 to $7.40, anticipating that Q2 results will serve as a major catalyst due to record-high margins and strong free cash flow generation.
- Improved Market Environment: Analysts noted that imported diesel prices above Petrobras support a more favorable margin environment for Ultrapar, with expectations for upward consensus revisions in the second half of the year.
- Investment Risks Eased: Ultrapar has recently withdrawn its bid for a stake in Rumo, alleviating concerns about capital allocation, while the ANP's suspension of LPG reform preserves Ultragaz's strong profitability.
See More
Latest Wall Street Ratings Overview
- Viking Holdings Rating: BMO initiates coverage of Viking Holdings (VIK) with an Outperform rating and a $115 target price, indicating confidence in the company's future growth despite its high valuation.
- Apple's Sustained Growth: Bernstein reiterates Apple as Outperform, noting a 2% YoY increase in May iPhone sales, with nearly all markets showing positive growth, particularly in Japan and emerging markets, highlighting Apple's competitive strength globally.
- Optimistic Tesla Outlook: Goldman Sachs maintains a neutral rating on Tesla, anticipating that the upcoming earnings report will exceed market expectations, supported by strong second-quarter delivery numbers, reflecting the company's ongoing appeal in the electric vehicle market.
- Pinterest Engagement Growth: DA Davidson initiates a Buy rating on Pinterest with a $26 price target, emphasizing the company's consistent growth in user engagement over the past ten quarters, showcasing its strong performance in the social media sector.
See More
Updated Quant Ratings for Mid-Cap Consumer Discretionary Stocks
- Top-Rated Stocks: Ultrapar Participações (UGP) achieves a quant rating of 4.84, classified as a Strong Buy, indicating robust performance in profitability and growth, which may attract investor interest and drive stock price appreciation.
- Strong Performers: Callaway Golf (CALY) and Victoria’s Secret (VSCO) receive quant ratings of 4.68 and 4.64 respectively, suggesting enhanced competitiveness in the market, likely drawing more attention from investors and analysts alike.
- Low-Rated Stocks: Lucid Group (LCID) is rated at 1.04, classified as a Strong Sell, reflecting significant shortcomings in profitability and market performance, which may lead to declining investor confidence and negatively impact stock prices.
- Market Dynamics: As the earnings season concludes, heightened investor focus on quant ratings not only influences short-term investment decisions but may also have profound implications for companies' long-term strategies.
See More
Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. Positioned for Exceptional Growth
- Earnings Growth Potential: Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. has a historical EPS growth rate of 28.3%, with projected EPS growth of 100% this year, significantly surpassing the industry average of 13.5%, indicating strong future profitability that could drive stock price increases.
- Asset Utilization Efficiency: The company's sales-to-total-assets (S/TA) ratio stands at 3.08, meaning it generates $3.08 in sales for every dollar of assets, which is well above the industry average of 0.31, showcasing high efficiency in asset utilization and boosting investor confidence.
- Sales Growth Outlook: Ultrapar's sales are expected to grow by 47.8%, compared to the industry average of just 8.1%, indicating robust growth potential in market demand and product sales, which could lead to increased market share.
- Upward Earnings Estimate Revisions: The current-year earnings estimates for Ultrapar have been revised upward by 26.1% over the past month, reflecting a positive trend that is strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements, further enhancing investor confidence in its future performance.
See More
Ultrapar Reports Significant Net Income Increase in Quarter
- Net Income Growth: Ultrapar Participacoes SA reported a net income of 914 million reais for the quarter, an increase of 551 million reais compared to the same period last year, indicating a significant enhancement in profitability that boosts investor confidence.
- Improved Financial Stability: The company's leverage ratio decreased from 1.7 to 1.5, reflecting enhanced financial stability that provides a stronger foundation for future expansions and investments.
- Market Recovery Signs: Ipiranga, a subsidiary, saw an 8% increase in total volume sold, indicating a gradual market recovery and improved operational performance, which is expected to further drive the company's overall performance.
- Sustainability Initiatives: Ultrapar published its 2025 Sustainability Report and introduced a new 2030 Sustainability Plan, demonstrating a commitment to long-term value creation and corporate sustainability, thereby enhancing its competitive position in the market.
See More
Ultrapar Explores Sale of Ipiranga Stake with BTG Pactual
- Capital Restructuring Plan: Ultrapar (UGP) has engaged investment bank BTG Pactual to manage a potential sale of its stake in Ipiranga, aiming to reallocate capital towards the logistics sector while retaining operational control despite a reduced ownership stake.
- Collaboration with Chevron: Reports indicate that Chevron (CVX) is in advanced talks with Ultrapar to acquire a 30% stake in Ipiranga, which would further solidify the existing joint venture relationship between the two companies in the lubricants business.
- Positive Market Reaction: As energy sentiment improves, Chevron's stock is trading near $190, reflecting investor confidence in the partnership with Ultrapar, which could drive future business expansion for both companies.
- Strategic Implications: This potential deal not only aids Ultrapar in optimizing its capital allocation but also enhances its competitive position in the logistics sector, further advancing the implementation of the company's long-term growth strategy.
See More
