ONEOK Reports Strong Q1 Earnings and Raises 2026 Guidance
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 04 2026
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
ONEOK Inc. saw its stock price decrease by 5.01% as it crossed below the 5-day SMA, despite positive market conditions with the Nasdaq-100 up 1.23% and the S&P 500 up 0.85%.
The company reported a net income of $776 million for Q1, translating to $1.23 per share, marking a 12% year-over-year increase. Additionally, ONEOK raised its 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $8 billion and $8.5 billion, showcasing confidence in future market conditions. This strong financial performance indicates significant profitability under robust market conditions, despite the stock's decline.
The implications of this earnings report and guidance increase suggest that ONEOK is well-positioned for future growth, with ongoing investments planned to enhance its market position. However, the stock's movement below the 5-day SMA may reflect sector rotation or investor caution despite the positive earnings outlook.
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Analyst Views on OKE
Wall Street analysts forecast OKE stock price to fall
12 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 87.430
Low
75.00
Averages
86.00
High
110.00
Current: 87.430
Low
75.00
Averages
86.00
High
110.00
About OKE
ONEOK, Inc. is a midstream operator that provides gathering, processing, fractionation, transportation, storage and marine export services. Its segments include Natural Gas Gathering and Processing; Natural Gas Liquids; Natural Gas Pipelines, and Refined Products and Crude. The Natural Gas Gathering and Processing segment provides midstream services to producers in the Rocky Mountain region, the Mid-Continent region, and the Permian Basin region. The Natural Gas Liquids segment gathers, treats, fractionates and transports natural gas liquids (NGLs) and stores, markets and distributes Purity NGLs. It provides midstream services to producers of NGLs in the Rocky Mountain region, Mid-Continent region, Permian Basin and Gulf Coast region and delivers those products to the market. The Natural Gas Pipelines segment transports, stores and markets natural gas. The Refined Products and Crude segment gathers, transports, stores, distributes, blends and markets Refined Products and crude oil.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Oneok Inc. Trading Update and Earnings Outlook
- Stock Performance: Oneok Inc. (OKE) closed at $85.73, reflecting a 1.39% decline from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's 0.22% drop, indicating market caution regarding its short-term outlook.
- Earnings Expectations: The company is expected to report an EPS of $1.41, up 5.22% year-over-year, with quarterly revenue projected at $10.81 billion, representing a 37.11% increase from the prior year, showcasing strong revenue growth momentum.
- Analyst Ratings: Currently rated #3 (Hold) by Zacks, Oneok Inc. reflects cautious optimism from analysts regarding its future profitability, although recent estimate changes indicate a positive outlook on its operations.
- Valuation Analysis: The company's forward P/E ratio stands at 15.8, indicating a premium over the industry average of 13.42, suggesting high market expectations for future growth, while its PEG ratio of 6.75 significantly exceeds the industry average of 1.3, prompting investors to consider the balance between growth potential and valuation.
See More
Investment Opportunities in Oneok and Sun Communities
- Oneok's Resilience: Despite oil prices retreating to multi-month lows, Oneok, a midstream energy company with a 60,000-mile pipeline network, continues to generate revenue, ensuring stable dividend payments and demonstrating strong risk resilience.
- Sun Communities' Hidden Strength: As a lesser-known real estate investment trust, Sun Communities has raised its dividend for nine consecutive years; while its forward-looking yield is 3.7%, its performance in the mobile home and RV parking rental market shows resilience, making it worth a look.
- Accenture's AI Strategy: Although Accenture's stock has fallen over 60% since last February due to concerns about AI threats, its 5.1% dividend yield and consistent dividend growth indicate a proactive approach to leveraging AI technology, potentially offering long-term value for investors.
- Long-Term Investor Perspective: Amid current market volatility, analysts suggest focusing on these dividend stocks; the stability of Oneok and Sun Communities, along with Accenture's adaptability, could yield significant returns for portfolios.
See More
Investors Focus on Falling AI Stocks Amid Broader Market Concerns
- Oneok's Steady Income: Oneok (OKE), a midstream energy company with 60,000 miles of pipeline, continues to generate stable revenue despite falling oil prices, boasting a dividend yield of 4.73%, which highlights its strong cash flow and long-term investment appeal.
- Sun Communities' Hidden Strength: Sun Communities (SUI) has raised its dividend for nine consecutive years, currently offering a yield of 3.7%, and its rental market for mobile homes and RVs has shown surprising resilience, indicating its potential in the REIT sector.
- Accenture's AI Strategy: Although Accenture (ACN) shares have dropped over 60% since last February, its dividend yield has risen to 5.11%, suggesting that the company is effectively leveraging AI technology while maintaining a solid business foundation despite market fears.
- Investment Opportunities Amid Market Volatility: In light of the broader decline in AI stocks, investors are encouraged to consider these stable dividend stocks as long-term investments, potentially yielding significant returns in the future amidst short-term market fluctuations.
See More
Escalation of US-Iran Conflict Impacts Oil Market
- Strait Tensions: Iran's attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz have significantly slowed traffic, despite a ceasefire agreement with the U.S., indicating ongoing geopolitical risks that continue to affect the energy market.
- Price Fluctuations: Both Brent and WTI crude oil prices rose about 2% on Monday, with WTI regaining the $70 per barrel mark and Brent nearing $75, reflecting market sensitivity to Middle Eastern tensions and investor expectations for sustained high prices.
- Inventory Crisis: U.S. crude oil inventories in Cushing have fallen to 19 million barrels, the lowest since 2014, while the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is down to 331.2 million barrels, highlighting the ongoing high demand for energy and the potential for further price increases due to tight supplies.
- Diverse Investment Strategies: Investors can opt for oil stocks, which can generate substantial cash flow at $70 oil, or pipeline stocks like Oneok, which provide stable income and growth, demonstrating the importance of flexible investment strategies in an uncertain market environment.
See More
Strait of Hormuz Tensions Impact Energy Investments
- Strait of Hormuz Tensions: Iran continues to threaten commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz despite a 60-day ceasefire agreement with the U.S., leading to limited energy transport and hindering the global energy market's recovery.
- Oil Price Fluctuations: Both Brent and WTI crude oil prices rose about 2% on Monday, with WTI regaining the $70 per barrel mark and Brent nearing $75, indicating muted market reactions to the tensions, yet low inventory levels may lead to further price increases.
- Inventory Crisis: U.S. crude oil inventories in Cushing have fallen to 19 million barrels, the lowest since 2014, while the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is down to 331.2 million barrels, the lowest in over 40 years, raising concerns about market stability and potential price spikes.
- Investment Strategy Adjustments: Investors may consider oil stocks under the assumption that prices will remain above $70, with Chevron expecting an additional $12.5 billion in free cash flow at this price, while pipeline stocks like Oneok offer stable earnings from fee-based sources, ensuring predictable cash flows and high dividend yields.
See More
Investment Comparison: New Fortress Energy vs ONEOK
- New Fortress Financial Struggles: New Fortress Energy reported approximately $1.5 billion in revenue for FY 2025, a decline of over 36%, alongside a net loss of nearly $1.8 billion, indicating significant challenges during its asset restructuring phase that could impact future financing and market confidence.
- ONEOK's Steady Growth: ONEOK achieved nearly $33.6 billion in revenue for FY 2025, marking a 55.4% increase, with net income close to $3.4 billion, demonstrating strong profitability and stable cash flow in the midstream energy sector, enhancing its competitive position.
- Risk Profile Comparison: New Fortress faces risks related to its restructuring support agreement, with potential insolvency if financial plans fail, while its reliance on PREPA adds credit risk; in contrast, ONEOK's business model mitigates exposure to commodity price fluctuations through long-term contracts, although it must still monitor drilling activity from producers.
- Future Outlook: By 2026, New Fortress's restructuring is expected to reduce its debt by $5.1 billion, although this will dilute existing shareholders to about 35% of the new entity; meanwhile, ONEOK is projected to achieve approximately $38.6 billion in revenue and $3.6 billion in net income in 2026, highlighting its growth potential and attractiveness in the market.
See More
Oneok Inc. Trading Update and Earnings Outlook
- Stock Performance: Oneok Inc. (OKE) closed at $85.73, reflecting a 1.39% decline from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's 0.22% drop, indicating market caution regarding its short-term outlook.
- Earnings Expectations: The company is expected to report an EPS of $1.41, up 5.22% year-over-year, with quarterly revenue projected at $10.81 billion, representing a 37.11% increase from the prior year, showcasing strong revenue growth momentum.
- Analyst Ratings: Currently rated #3 (Hold) by Zacks, Oneok Inc. reflects cautious optimism from analysts regarding its future profitability, although recent estimate changes indicate a positive outlook on its operations.
- Valuation Analysis: The company's forward P/E ratio stands at 15.8, indicating a premium over the industry average of 13.42, suggesting high market expectations for future growth, while its PEG ratio of 6.75 significantly exceeds the industry average of 1.3, prompting investors to consider the balance between growth potential and valuation.
See More
Investment Opportunities in Oneok and Sun Communities
- Oneok's Resilience: Despite oil prices retreating to multi-month lows, Oneok, a midstream energy company with a 60,000-mile pipeline network, continues to generate revenue, ensuring stable dividend payments and demonstrating strong risk resilience.
- Sun Communities' Hidden Strength: As a lesser-known real estate investment trust, Sun Communities has raised its dividend for nine consecutive years; while its forward-looking yield is 3.7%, its performance in the mobile home and RV parking rental market shows resilience, making it worth a look.
- Accenture's AI Strategy: Although Accenture's stock has fallen over 60% since last February due to concerns about AI threats, its 5.1% dividend yield and consistent dividend growth indicate a proactive approach to leveraging AI technology, potentially offering long-term value for investors.
- Long-Term Investor Perspective: Amid current market volatility, analysts suggest focusing on these dividend stocks; the stability of Oneok and Sun Communities, along with Accenture's adaptability, could yield significant returns for portfolios.
See More
Investors Focus on Falling AI Stocks Amid Broader Market Concerns
- Oneok's Steady Income: Oneok (OKE), a midstream energy company with 60,000 miles of pipeline, continues to generate stable revenue despite falling oil prices, boasting a dividend yield of 4.73%, which highlights its strong cash flow and long-term investment appeal.
- Sun Communities' Hidden Strength: Sun Communities (SUI) has raised its dividend for nine consecutive years, currently offering a yield of 3.7%, and its rental market for mobile homes and RVs has shown surprising resilience, indicating its potential in the REIT sector.
- Accenture's AI Strategy: Although Accenture (ACN) shares have dropped over 60% since last February, its dividend yield has risen to 5.11%, suggesting that the company is effectively leveraging AI technology while maintaining a solid business foundation despite market fears.
- Investment Opportunities Amid Market Volatility: In light of the broader decline in AI stocks, investors are encouraged to consider these stable dividend stocks as long-term investments, potentially yielding significant returns in the future amidst short-term market fluctuations.
See More
Escalation of US-Iran Conflict Impacts Oil Market
- Strait Tensions: Iran's attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz have significantly slowed traffic, despite a ceasefire agreement with the U.S., indicating ongoing geopolitical risks that continue to affect the energy market.
- Price Fluctuations: Both Brent and WTI crude oil prices rose about 2% on Monday, with WTI regaining the $70 per barrel mark and Brent nearing $75, reflecting market sensitivity to Middle Eastern tensions and investor expectations for sustained high prices.
- Inventory Crisis: U.S. crude oil inventories in Cushing have fallen to 19 million barrels, the lowest since 2014, while the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is down to 331.2 million barrels, highlighting the ongoing high demand for energy and the potential for further price increases due to tight supplies.
- Diverse Investment Strategies: Investors can opt for oil stocks, which can generate substantial cash flow at $70 oil, or pipeline stocks like Oneok, which provide stable income and growth, demonstrating the importance of flexible investment strategies in an uncertain market environment.
See More
Strait of Hormuz Tensions Impact Energy Investments
- Strait of Hormuz Tensions: Iran continues to threaten commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz despite a 60-day ceasefire agreement with the U.S., leading to limited energy transport and hindering the global energy market's recovery.
- Oil Price Fluctuations: Both Brent and WTI crude oil prices rose about 2% on Monday, with WTI regaining the $70 per barrel mark and Brent nearing $75, indicating muted market reactions to the tensions, yet low inventory levels may lead to further price increases.
- Inventory Crisis: U.S. crude oil inventories in Cushing have fallen to 19 million barrels, the lowest since 2014, while the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is down to 331.2 million barrels, the lowest in over 40 years, raising concerns about market stability and potential price spikes.
- Investment Strategy Adjustments: Investors may consider oil stocks under the assumption that prices will remain above $70, with Chevron expecting an additional $12.5 billion in free cash flow at this price, while pipeline stocks like Oneok offer stable earnings from fee-based sources, ensuring predictable cash flows and high dividend yields.
See More
Investment Comparison: New Fortress Energy vs ONEOK
- New Fortress Financial Struggles: New Fortress Energy reported approximately $1.5 billion in revenue for FY 2025, a decline of over 36%, alongside a net loss of nearly $1.8 billion, indicating significant challenges during its asset restructuring phase that could impact future financing and market confidence.
- ONEOK's Steady Growth: ONEOK achieved nearly $33.6 billion in revenue for FY 2025, marking a 55.4% increase, with net income close to $3.4 billion, demonstrating strong profitability and stable cash flow in the midstream energy sector, enhancing its competitive position.
- Risk Profile Comparison: New Fortress faces risks related to its restructuring support agreement, with potential insolvency if financial plans fail, while its reliance on PREPA adds credit risk; in contrast, ONEOK's business model mitigates exposure to commodity price fluctuations through long-term contracts, although it must still monitor drilling activity from producers.
- Future Outlook: By 2026, New Fortress's restructuring is expected to reduce its debt by $5.1 billion, although this will dilute existing shareholders to about 35% of the new entity; meanwhile, ONEOK is projected to achieve approximately $38.6 billion in revenue and $3.6 billion in net income in 2026, highlighting its growth potential and attractiveness in the market.
See More
