Vanguard Research Favors Value and International Stocks in AI Era
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3 days ago
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Positive Outlook for Value Stocks: Vanguard's research suggests that U.S. value stocks may outperform tech stocks in the upcoming AI-driven productivity era, with the Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF achieving approximately 27% returns over the past year, indicating strong market competitiveness.
- International Dividend ETF Performance: The Vanguard International Dividend Appreciation ETF currently offers a trailing 12-month dividend yield of 2.12% and holds 343 international stocks; despite underperforming the S&P 500 over the past five years, its stable dividend payments attract income-seeking investors.
- Opportunities in Small-Cap Stocks: The Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF, holding 835 small-cap stocks, delivered a 15.9% return in the first half of the year and charges a low expense ratio of 0.05%, providing a diversified investment option for those optimistic about the growth potential of smaller companies.
- International Market Potential: Vanguard's research indicates that future AI gains may flow to international markets, particularly companies in Japan, Canada, and Western Europe, which have a solid foundation for leveraging AI to enhance profitability, potentially yielding significant returns for investors.
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Analyst Views on NVS
Wall Street analysts forecast NVS stock price to fall
6 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 159.900
Low
112.00
Averages
127.75
High
143.00
Current: 159.900
Low
112.00
Averages
127.75
High
143.00
About NVS
Novartis AG is a Switzerland-based pharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and markets branded and generic prescription drugs, active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), biosimilars and ophthalmic products. The Company uses science and digital technologies for treatments in the disease areas of immunology, dermatology, cancer, ophthalmology, neuroscience, respiratory, cardiovascular, renal and metabolism. The business activities of the Company are divided into two segments: Innovative Medicines, which includes innovative patent-protected prescription medicines for blood pressure, cancer and other ailments, and Sandoz, which includes generic pharmaceuticals and biosimilars.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Acquisition Scale: Novartis has agreed to acquire UK-based Myricx Bio for up to $1.5 billion, with approximately $1.1 billion paid upfront and additional milestone payments of up to $400 million, indicating a strategic expansion in oncology.
- Technology Integration: The acquisition will provide Novartis with Myricx's N-myristoyltransferase inhibitors (NMTi) payload platform and two lead ADC assets targeting B7-H3 and HER2, thereby enhancing its innovative capabilities in treating various solid tumors.
- Market Outlook: The transaction is expected to close in the second half of 2026, and its success will further solidify Novartis's competitive edge in oncology drug development, particularly in next-generation ADC innovations.
- Stock Market Reaction: Novartis shares have traded between $112.34 and $170.46 over the past year, closing at $159.90 with a 3.74% increase, reflecting positive market expectations regarding the acquisition.
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- Acquisition Scale: Novartis will acquire UK-based Myricx Bio for up to $1.5 billion, with $1.1 billion paid upfront and an additional $400 million contingent on achieving specific development and regulatory milestones, highlighting Novartis's strategic focus in oncology.
- Integration of Innovative Platforms: Myricx Bio's NMTi payload platform features a differentiated mechanism that could broaden the application of antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) across various tumor settings, thereby enhancing Novartis's competitive edge in cancer treatment.
- Clear Strategic Objectives: Fiona Marshall, President of Biomedical Research at Novartis, stated that this acquisition reflects the company's strategy to scale innovative platforms, aiming to deliver more durable and transformative treatment options, aligning with its long-term growth objectives.
- Transaction Timeline: The deal is expected to close in the second half of 2026, at which point Myricx Bio will become part of Novartis's global research organization, further advancing Novartis's efforts in oncology drug development.
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- UEFA's Response: While Trump's intervention benefits Balogun, UEFA is reportedly considering supporting Belgium's challenge against FIFA's ruling, indicating potential tensions in international football governance that could affect future match regulations.
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- Active M&A Transactions: In the U.S. market, Lockheed Martin is set to acquire Ultra Maritime for $3.5 billion, easyJet has accepted a $7.3 billion takeover bid from Castlelake at a 73% premium, and Novartis is buying Myrixc Bio for $1.5 billion, indicating robust M&A activity that may influence stock prices.
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- Positive Outlook for Value Stocks: Vanguard's research suggests that U.S. value stocks may outperform tech stocks in the upcoming AI-driven productivity era, with the Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF achieving approximately 27% returns over the past year, indicating strong market competitiveness.
- International Dividend ETF Performance: The Vanguard International Dividend Appreciation ETF currently offers a trailing 12-month dividend yield of 2.12% and holds 343 international stocks; despite underperforming the S&P 500 over the past five years, its stable dividend payments attract income-seeking investors.
- Opportunities in Small-Cap Stocks: The Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF, holding 835 small-cap stocks, delivered a 15.9% return in the first half of the year and charges a low expense ratio of 0.05%, providing a diversified investment option for those optimistic about the growth potential of smaller companies.
- International Market Potential: Vanguard's research indicates that future AI gains may flow to international markets, particularly companies in Japan, Canada, and Western Europe, which have a solid foundation for leveraging AI to enhance profitability, potentially yielding significant returns for investors.
See More
- AI Investment Outlook: Vanguard's research indicates that the largest future gains from AI may not go to major tech firms but rather to U.S. value stocks and international developed market equities, as these companies are better positioned to leverage AI for enhanced profitability and efficiency, thereby gaining a competitive edge.
- Small-Cap Value ETF Performance: The Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR), which holds 835 stocks, achieved a 27.1% return over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500, and charges a low expense ratio of 0.05%, indicating significant growth potential amid rising AI productivity.
- International Dividend ETF Analysis: The Vanguard International Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIGI) consists of 343 international stocks with an 8.4% annualized return over the past decade; despite underperforming the S&P 500, its 2.12% dividend yield remains competitive among peers, appealing to investors optimistic about international markets.
- Market Distribution and Risks: VIGI's portfolio is primarily focused on developed markets, particularly Japan and Canada, and while it has underperformed historically, the potential for AI to enhance profitability in these firms could yield substantial returns for investors in the future.
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