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JOBY Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Joby Aviation Inc (JOBY) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
8.120
1 Day change
-8.97%
52 Week Range
20.950
Analysis Updated At
2026/07/03
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

JOBY is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 who is unwilling to wait for a better entry. The stock has encouraging long-term catalysts, but the current technical setup is still weak and the valuation is highly sentiment-driven rather than supported by clear financial strength. I would not buy it today; hold off until momentum improves or the price confirms a stronger trend.

Technical Analysis

Current price is 8.51, essentially flat versus the previous close, but the broader setup is bearish. MACD histogram is negative and worsening, moving averages are bearish with SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5, and RSI_6 at 28.806 shows the stock is weak and near oversold conditions rather than in a healthy uptrend. Price is sitting just above S1 support at 8.479 and above S2 at 8.008, while resistance is near 9.241 and then 10.003. This suggests the stock is still trading in a fragile zone with limited near-term confirmation of upside. The pattern outlook also points to only modest short-term upside and a weaker monthly profile.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is bullish overall because both put-call ratios are well below 1, showing call-heavy positioning and speculative upside interest. Total option activity is elevated versus the 30-day average, which supports active trader interest. However, implied volatility remains high at 80.31, so the options market is pricing in a lot of uncertainty and expectation around future moves rather than confirming a clean long-term entry.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Positive catalysts include the FAA-conforming eVTOL aircraft completing over 50,000 miles of test flights, first FAA-conforming aircraft flights underway, and the Toyota joint venture to improve commercial production. Management also reiterated 2026 revenue guidance and 1H cash-use guidance, supported by a $2.5B cash pile. Hedge funds are buying, which is a supportive institutional signal. The news flow is constructive and centered on certification and commercialization progress.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The main negatives are the bearish technical trend, the absence of an AI Stock Picker or SwingMax buy signal, and repeated analyst price-target cuts. The stock is still not showing strong price momentum, and the latest analyst updates trimmed targets while maintaining neutral-to-hold ratings. There is also no recent congress trading data or insider buying support. The financial snapshot data is unavailable here, so there is no clear evidence of accelerating fundamental performance from the latest quarter in this dataset.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter details are not available in the provided financial snapshot, so quarter-over-quarter revenue and margin trends cannot be confirmed from this dataset. The only financial update available is management’s reiterated 2026 revenue and 1H cash-use guidance, supported by a large $2.5B cash position. That suggests liquidity strength, but not yet proven operating profitability or durable earnings growth. Latest quarter season: Q1 results were referenced by analysts.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst trend is negative-to-neutral: Canaccord lowered the price target to $11.50 from $15.50 and kept Hold, while Morgan Stanley lowered its target to $13 from $15 and kept Equal Weight. The pros view is that certification progress, public flight demonstrations, and partnership momentum with Toyota improve visibility toward 2026 milestones. The cons view is that analysts are cutting targets, ratings remain non-bullish, and the stock still lacks a strong evidence-backed earnings profile. Overall Wall Street view is constructive on the story but cautious on the stock price.

Wall Street analysts forecast JOBY stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast JOBY stock price to rise
1 Buy
3 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 8.490
sliders
Low
8
Averages
15.67
High
22
Current: 8.490
sliders
Low
8
Averages
15.67
High
22
Canaccord
Austin Moeller
Hold
downgrade
AI Analysis
2026-05-07
Reason
Canaccord
Austin Moeller
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-05-07
downgrade
Hold
Reason
Canaccord analyst Austin Moeller lowered the firm's price target on Joby Aviation to $11.50 from $15.50 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q1 results and Management reiterated 2026 revenue and 1H cash use guidance, the latter of which is enabled by Joby's $2.5B cash pile. The company also progressed the Testing and Analysis stage of certification with the FAA.
Morgan Stanley
Kristine Liwag
Equal Weight
downgrade
$15 -> $13
2026-05-06
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Kristine Liwag
Price Target
$15 -> $13
2026-05-06
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Kristine Liwag lowered the firm's price target on Joby Aviation to $13 from $15 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. Recent progress, particularly around eIPP participation and public flight demonstrations, reinforces visibility into several key milestones ahead in 2026, the analyst tells investors.
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