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MDT Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Medtronic PLC (MDT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
83.830
1 Day change
0.93%
52 Week Range
106.330
Analysis Updated At
2026/07/03
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Medtronic looks like a good buy right now for a beginner with a long-term horizon and $50,000-$100,000 to invest. The stock is trading near $83 and sits close to its recent resistance band, but the broader setup is constructive: momentum is improving, analyst sentiment is mixed but still leans positive overall, hedge funds are buying, and the business continues to show durable dividend and revenue characteristics. Since the investor is impatient and does not want to wait for a perfect entry, I would favor buying now rather than holding out for a lower price.

Technical Analysis

Technically, MDT is showing a positive short-term trend. The MACD histogram is positive and expanding, which supports upward momentum. RSI_6 at 68.7 is elevated but not extreme, suggesting the stock is strong without being clearly overbought. Moving averages are converging, which often signals a transition phase and potential trend continuation. Price at 83.21 is slightly above pivot 80.564 and near R1 82.539 / R2 83.759, so the stock is pressing the upper part of its near-term range. The stock pattern data suggests a favorable near-term bias, with a 70% chance of 1.24% next day, 2.12% next week, and 4.91% next month.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is mildly bullish. Both put-call ratios are below 1, indicating more call positioning than puts. Open interest is fairly large with put-call ratio at 0.68 and volume put-call ratio at 0.55, which suggests traders are leaning constructive. IV percentile at 86.11 is relatively high, so options are pricing in notable movement, but the skew still favors a positive sentiment backdrop. No AI Stock Picker signal and no recent SwingMax signal were present.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • ["Medtronic reported its highest annual revenue growth in a decade.", "Hedge funds are buying, with buying amount up 167.88% over the last quarter.", "BTIG upgraded the stock to Buy and sees a re-rating opportunity.", "Needham kept a Buy rating and said the company is in the early stages of a strong product cycle.", "The company has a long dividend growth history and currently yields 3.5%, which supports long-term appeal.", "Technical momentum is improving with a positive and expanding MACD histogram."]

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • ["Several analysts lowered price targets recently, reflecting caution on margins and 2027 guidance.", "Goldman Sachs, UBS, Baird, Truist, Stifel, and BofA all reduced targets, showing tempered expectations.", "Congress trading shows 1 sale and 0 purchases in the last 90 days, which is mildly negative.", "RSI is elevated near the upper end of the neutral range, so upside may be somewhat extended in the short term.", "Options IV is elevated, which suggests the market expects meaningful price movement and may be pricing in uncertainty."]

Financial Performance

The latest quarter shown in the data is Q4, and it was solid. Revenue beat consensus and organic growth was described as broadly ahead of expectations. Needham noted Q4 revenue and EPS beat consensus, while other analysts said margins were softer and FY27 EPS guidance was below some estimates. Overall, the latest quarter points to improving top-line growth, but margin expansion is still a key watch item.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed but not bearish. Recent moves include multiple price-target cuts, mainly due to conservative FY27 expectations, softer margins, and inflation/utilization concerns. However, several firms still keep Buy or Outperform ratings, including BofA, Bernstein, BTIG, and Needham. The pros view is that Medtronic has a durable business, improving organic growth, and potential re-rating upside. The cons view is that EPS growth has lagged, margins remain under pressure, and some firms expect only modest upside from current levels.

Wall Street analysts forecast MDT stock price to rise
20 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MDT stock price to rise
11 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 83.060
sliders
Low
102
Averages
111.76
High
120
Current: 83.060
sliders
Low
102
Averages
111.76
High
120
Evercore ISI
Outperform
to
Outperform
downgrade
$106 -> $105
AI Analysis
2026-07-06
New
Reason
Evercore ISI
Price Target
$106 -> $105
AI Analysis
2026-07-06
New
downgrade
Outperform
to
Outperform
Reason
Evercore ISI lowered the firm's price target on Medtronic to $105 from $106 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm's Q2 preview for MedTech, Life Sciences Tools, and Diagnostics highlights generally healthy procedure volumes and capital expenditure trends across the sector, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
BofA
Buy
downgrade
$110 -> $95
2026-06-12
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$110 -> $95
2026-06-12
downgrade
Buy
Reason
BofA lowered the firm's price target on Medtronic to $95 from $110 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Noting that the firm's services team continues to highlight a lower utilization environment, the analyst wants to take a more conservative view on 2027 medtech company estimates given valuations are already reflecting utilization risk, the analyst tells investors. The analyst, who is also assuming inflation is more of a headwind in 2027 with less margin expansion for medtech, lowers 2027 estimates across the firm's larger-cap coverage where there's exposure to utilization and inflation.
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