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ONON Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy On Holding AG (ONON) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
36.620
1 Day change
-0.68%
52 Week Range
55.950
Analysis Updated At
2026/07/03
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

ON Holding AG is not a strong buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 to deploy. The business still has solid growth momentum and Wall Street remains broadly constructive, but the current price action is technically mixed-to-bearish and there is no proprietary buy signal today. Given the user's impatience and preference not to wait for a better entry, I still would not call this a buy at current levels; hold and wait for a cleaner trend confirmation.

Technical Analysis

ONON is trading at 37.00 after closing near 36.83, slightly above the pivot at 36.758. However, the broader trend remains weak: MACD histogram is -0.202 and still below zero, RSI_6 is neutral at 53.367, and the moving averages are bearish with SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5. This suggests the stock is in a longer-term downtrend or recovery phase rather than a confirmed uptrend. Near-term resistance is 38.488 (R1) and 39.557 (R2), while support sits at 35.027 (S1) and 33.958 (S2). The provided pattern-based estimate points to modest upside over the next week and month, but not enough to override the weak trend structure.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is mildly bullish-to-neutral. The open interest put-call ratio of 0.89 suggests slightly more bearish hedging than bullish positioning, but the much lower option volume put-call ratio of 0.19 shows strong call-side trading activity today. Total options volume is close to recent averages, implying active but not extreme positioning. Implied volatility at 45.54 is elevated but not excessive, with IV rank at 29.28 and IV percentile at 43.25, so options are not signaling a major panic or event spike.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • ["JPMorgan resumed coverage with an Overweight rating and $51 target, and placed the stock on Positive Catalyst Watch.", "JPMorgan expects above-consensus Q2 results and additional guidance increases.", "Several major analysts remain positive: Stifel Buy/$60, Telsey Outperform/$51, KeyBanc Overweight/$43, Barclays Overweight/$46, Truist Buy/$48, Evercore Outperform/$42, Raymond James Strong Buy/$52.", "Analysts consistently cite strong sales growth, brand momentum, market share gains, and improving margin outlook.", "News context around Nike's weak revenue/profit trends may support sentiment for strong competitors like ONON in athletic apparel and footwear."]

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • ["The stock is still in a technically bearish structure with SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5 and MACD below zero.", "Wall Street price targets were cut by multiple firms in May, showing some caution after results.", "Bearish commentary highlighted softer U.S./DTC performance and valuation compression.", "Hedge fund and insider trading data are neutral, offering no strong conviction signal.", "No AI Stock Picker or SwingMax buy signal is present today."]

Financial Performance

Financial snapshot data was unavailable due to an error, so the latest quarter cannot be quantified directly here. Based on analyst commentary, the latest quarter appears to have shown strong Q1 sales growth of 26.5% in constant currency, along with outsized gross margin expansion and a meaningful profitability beat. Guidance was reiterated at 23%+ constant-currency growth, which several analysts viewed as conservative. The latest quarter season referenced by analysts is Q1 2026.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Wall Street remains mostly bullish, but targets have been adjusted lower from earlier levels, indicating valuation caution rather than business deterioration. Recent notes show JPMorgan Overweight/$51, Stifel Buy/$60, Telsey Outperform/$51, KeyBanc Overweight/$43, Barclays Overweight/$46, Truist Buy/$48, Evercore Outperform/$42, Raymond James Strong Buy/$52, and HSBC Buy/$47. The pros case is strong brand momentum, growth above peers, and margin expansion. The bear case is valuation pressure, mixed U.S./DTC trends, and a still-challenging macro backdrop. Overall analyst sentiment is positive, but not aggressive enough to outweigh the weak technical setup today.

Wall Street analysts forecast ONON stock price to rise
21 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ONON stock price to rise
18 Buy
2 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 36.870
sliders
Low
30
Averages
60.79
High
85
Current: 36.870
sliders
Low
30
Averages
60.79
High
85
JPMorgan
NULL
to
Overweight
upgrade
$51
AI Analysis
2026-07-02
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$51
AI Analysis
2026-07-02
upgrade
NULL
to
Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan resumed coverage of On Holding with an Overweight rating and $51 price target. JPMorgan also placed the shares on "Positive Catalyst Watch." The firm sees potential for above-consensus Q2 results with additional guidance increases. On's solid momentum should continue, and the stock's risk/return is more attractive today following the selloff over the last 12 months, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Stifel
Buy
maintain
$58 -> $60
2026-05-29
Reason
Stifel
Price Target
$58 -> $60
2026-05-29
maintain
Buy
Reason
Stifel raised the firm's price target on On Holding to $60 from $58 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
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