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TMDX Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Transmedics Group Inc (TMDX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
71.110
1 Day change
-0.16%
52 Week Range
156.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

TransMedics Group Inc (TMDX) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While the stock has shown positive price momentum recently, the lack of strong proprietary trading signals, insider selling activity, and mixed analyst ratings suggest a cautious approach. The investor should wait for clearer growth signals or a more favorable entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positively expanding with a histogram of 1.881, indicating bullish momentum. RSI is at 71.41, which is neutral but nearing overbought territory. Moving averages are converging, signaling indecision. Key resistance levels are at 79.035 and 81.815, while support levels are at 70.035 and 67.255.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The relatively low put-call ratios indicate a slightly bullish sentiment in the options market. However, implied volatility is moderate (IV percentile: 49.21), suggesting no extreme market expectations.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • The stock has shown a strong regular market change of 7.61% and a pre-market increase of 2.43%. Analysts like Piper Sandler and TD Cowen maintain a positive long-term outlook despite recent challenges. Management's confidence in full-year revenue guidance is a positive sign.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling heavily, with a 186.38% increase in selling activity over the last month. Analysts have lowered price targets significantly, citing competition concerns, trial enrollment challenges, and missed Q1 revenue and earnings estimates. Oppenheimer downgraded the stock to Perform, citing exhaustion defending the name.

Financial Performance

No financial data available for analysis. However, Q1 results missed consensus estimates, and analysts have expressed concerns about near-term growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are mixed on the stock. While some maintain Buy or Outperform ratings with reduced price targets (e.g., Needham, Piper Sandler, Baird), others like Stifel and Oppenheimer have downgraded or maintained Hold ratings due to competition concerns and missed earnings.

Wall Street analysts forecast TMDX stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TMDX stock price to rise
9 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 71.230
sliders
Low
115
Averages
147.8
High
170
Current: 71.230
sliders
Low
115
Averages
147.8
High
170
Evercore ISI
Daniel Markowitz
Outperform
to
Outperform
downgrade
$100 -> $90
AI Analysis
2026-07-06
New
Reason
Evercore ISI
Daniel Markowitz
Price Target
$100 -> $90
AI Analysis
2026-07-06
New
downgrade
Outperform
to
Outperform
Reason
Evercore ISI analyst Daniel Markowitz lowered the firm's price target on TransMedics to $90 from $100 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm's Q2 preview for MedTech, Life Sciences Tools, and Diagnostics highlights generally healthy procedure volumes and capital expenditure trends across the sector, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
TD Cowen
Buy
maintain
$120
2026-07-01
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
$120
2026-07-01
maintain
Buy
Reason
Monthly U.S. transplant tracking indicates that TransMedics is benefiting from continued growth in heart, liver, and lung transplant volumes, which rose about 5% year over year in Q2 and showed sequential acceleration versus Q1, TD Cowen tells investors in a research note. Aviation flight data tied to TransMedics' transplant logistics business suggests strong momentum with roughly 18.5% year-over-year and 11.5% sequential growth in flight activity, supporting ongoing operational expansion beyond early-stage program launches, the firm says. TD Cowen has a Buy rating and $120 price target on the stock.
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