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TSM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
432.570
1 Day change
-4.25%
52 Week Range
479.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Based on the data provided, TSM is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock shows strong bullish technical indicators, positive analyst sentiment, and robust AI-driven demand momentum. While there are no immediate Intellectia trading signals, the stock's fundamentals and market position make it a solid long-term investment.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 70.37, and the moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its resistance levels (R1: 455.891, R2: 469.982), suggesting upward momentum. Overall, the technical indicators favor a bullish trend.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high implied volatility (51.31) and IV percentile (99.21) suggest significant market interest, while the put-call ratios indicate a slightly bullish sentiment.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets recently, citing strong AI-driven demand and impressive delivery.

  • Congress trading data shows balanced activity, with purchases indicating confidence in the stock.

  • Bullish technical indicators and strong AI demand momentum.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Stock trend analysis suggests a 40% chance of minor short-term declines (-1.27% next day, -3.23% next week).

  • No immediate Intellectia trading signals for short-term opportunities.

Financial Performance

Financial data for the latest quarter is unavailable, but analysts highlight strong AI-driven demand as a key growth driver. The company has consistently delivered impressive results, as noted in recent analyst upgrades.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are bullish, with recent upgrades in price targets: Barclays ($470), Needham ($480), and Citi (NT$2,800). The consensus highlights TSM as a core holding due to its AI demand momentum and strong performance.

Wall Street analysts forecast TSM stock price to fall
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TSM stock price to fall
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 434.160
sliders
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390
Current: 434.160
sliders
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390
Citi
Buy
maintain
AI Analysis
2026-07-05
New
Reason
Citi
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-07-05
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
Citi raised the firm's price target on TSMC to NZ$3,800 from NZ$2,875 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm believes there is a "higher likelihood" for the company to further increase its revenue growth target for 2026 and long-term revenue Compound Annual Growth Rate due to TSMC's sustained demand and improved long-term visibility, the analyst tells investors. Citi expects TSMC to remain a primary beneficiary of AI semiconductor content growth.
Goldman Sachs
downgrade
2026-07-01
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
2026-07-01
downgrade
Reason
Goldman Sachs analysts removed TSMC from the firm's APAC Conviction List as part of its monthly update.
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