RBC Capital Reaffirms Outperform Rating for Ollie's Bargain Outlet and Increases Price Target to $144
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 18 2025
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Source: Benzinga
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Analyst Views on OLLI
Wall Street analysts forecast OLLI stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 68.030
Low
120.00
Averages
144.46
High
162.00
Current: 68.030
Low
120.00
Averages
144.46
High
162.00
About OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory. The Company and its subsidiaries principally buys overproduced, overstocked, and closeout merchandise from manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, brokers, and other retailers. In addition, it augments its name-brand closeout deals with private label products. It offers customers a selection of brand name products, including housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics. The Company operates over 645 stores in 34 states. The Company's retail locations are located in Alabama, Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wisconsin.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Ollie’s Downgraded to Neutral, Stock Hits Two-Year Low
- Downgrade Impact: J.P. Morgan analyst Matthew Boss downgraded Ollie’s (OLLI) from Overweight to Neutral, causing the stock to hit a two-year low in early Wednesday trading, reflecting market concerns about the company's future performance.
- Earnings Outlook Downgrade: The expectation for second-quarter same-store sales to miss targets and compressed gross margins due to increased promotional activity led Boss to cut the target price by more than half to $70, indicating a pessimistic view on profitability.
- Poor Sales Performance: Ollie’s management indicated that unseasonable weather and surging fuel prices have pressured same-store sales, with Boss projecting a 1% decline in Q2 sales, significantly below the street consensus of 1.4% growth.
- Earnings Forecast Adjustment: Based on the anticipated sales decline, Boss lowered his Q2 EPS estimate by $1.04, forecasting a gross margin of 38.7%, which could negatively impact the company's financial outlook moving forward.
See More
US Stocks Decline as Oil Prices Surge
- Market Decline: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.79%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 1.44%, and the Nasdaq 100 index decreased by 0.61%, reflecting heightened investor caution following President Trump's declaration that the ceasefire with Iran is over, prompting a flight to safety.
- Surge in Oil Prices: WTI crude oil prices surged over 7% to a two-week high as the US launched strikes against Iran, raising concerns about potential disruptions to energy supplies and pushing inflation expectations higher, which in turn lifted the 10-year Treasury note yield to a 1.5-month high of 4.59%.
- Mortgage Applications Decline: US MBA mortgage applications fell by 2.2% in the week ending July 3, with the purchase mortgage sub-index down 0.6% and the refinancing sub-index down 4.1%, indicating that high interest rates are negatively impacting housing demand and could further suppress the recovery in the real estate market.
- Optimistic Earnings Outlook: Bloomberg Intelligence forecasts a 23% increase in corporate earnings for Q2, close to the 30% growth seen in Q1, indicating that AI infrastructure stocks are expected to contribute nearly 60% of the S&P 500's earnings-per-share growth, suggesting a positive long-term outlook despite short-term market volatility.
See More
U.S. Stocks Decline as Oil Prices Surge
- Market Decline: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.49%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.96%, and the Nasdaq 100 index decreased by 0.19%, reflecting investor concerns over escalating tensions in the Middle East, prompting a flight to safety.
- Oil Price Surge: WTI crude oil prices surged over 4% to a two-week high following U.S. military strikes against Iran, raising fears of potential disruptions in energy supplies and further boosting inflation expectations.
- Mortgage Applications Drop: U.S. MBA mortgage applications fell by 2.2% in the week ending July 3, with the purchase mortgage sub-index down 0.6% and refinancing down 4.1%, indicating the negative impact of high interest rates on housing demand.
- Optimistic Earnings Outlook: Bloomberg Intelligence forecasts a 23% increase in corporate earnings for Q2, close to the 30% growth seen in Q1, indicating that AI infrastructure stocks will drive S&P 500 earnings-per-share growth, reflecting market confidence in tech stocks.
See More
Market Turbulence and Corporate Developments to Watch
- Market Sell-off: Dow futures are down 400 points, with S&P and Nasdaq futures also sharply lower, reflecting investor anxiety over escalating tensions in Iran, which could impact short-term trading strategies and overall market sentiment.
- Apple's Chip Investment: Apple has announced a chip supply deal with Broadcom worth over $30 billion, expected to produce 15 million American-made chips, marking its largest U.S. manufacturing commitment to date, which will enhance supply chain stability and technological independence.
- Analyst Rating Changes: Old Dominion Freight Line was upgraded to buy from hold by Wells Fargo, as analysts see a rebound in the freight cycle; despite concerns that much of this optimism is already priced in, they recommend maintaining a positive outlook on the stock.
- AT&T's Outlook Concerns: Wells Fargo initiated coverage of AT&T with a sell rating and a price target of $18, indicating nearly 15% downside, as analysts worry about competition from SpaceX's Starlink in broadband internet, which may lead to further stock declines and reflects market skepticism about its growth prospects.
See More
Latest Wall Street Ratings Overview
- Viking Holdings Rating: BMO initiates coverage of Viking Holdings (VIK) with an Outperform rating and a $115 target price, indicating confidence in the company's future growth despite its high valuation.
- Apple's Sustained Growth: Bernstein reiterates Apple as Outperform, noting a 2% YoY increase in May iPhone sales, with nearly all markets showing positive growth, particularly in Japan and emerging markets, highlighting Apple's competitive strength globally.
- Optimistic Tesla Outlook: Goldman Sachs maintains a neutral rating on Tesla, anticipating that the upcoming earnings report will exceed market expectations, supported by strong second-quarter delivery numbers, reflecting the company's ongoing appeal in the electric vehicle market.
- Pinterest Engagement Growth: DA Davidson initiates a Buy rating on Pinterest with a $26 price target, emphasizing the company's consistent growth in user engagement over the past ten quarters, showcasing its strong performance in the social media sector.
See More
Kimberly-Clark Faces Input Cost Challenges
- Increased Cost Pressure: Kimberly-Clark indicated during its Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings call that if oil prices average $100 per barrel in the second half of fiscal 2026, it could face an additional gross input cost of approximately $150-$170 million, reflecting the company's cautious outlook amid ongoing uncertainties.
- Sustained Productivity Gains: The company has consistently achieved a 6% gross productivity increase over the past two years, reaching this target again in Q1 of fiscal 2026, demonstrating its strong execution in cost management and operational efficiency, which helps mitigate rising input costs.
- Supply Chain Investment Progress: Kimberly-Clark is advancing its previously announced $2 billion investment in its North American supply chain as planned, aimed at supporting long-term operational priorities, which will enhance the company's overall operational capabilities and market competitiveness.
- High Contract Coverage: Approximately 80% of Kimberly-Clark's overall cost basket is covered through contractual arrangements and other cost management measures, which not only increases visibility into input costs but also supports a disciplined approach to cost management, ensuring the successful implementation of its long-term margin expansion plans.
See More
Ollie’s Downgraded to Neutral, Stock Hits Two-Year Low
- Downgrade Impact: J.P. Morgan analyst Matthew Boss downgraded Ollie’s (OLLI) from Overweight to Neutral, causing the stock to hit a two-year low in early Wednesday trading, reflecting market concerns about the company's future performance.
- Earnings Outlook Downgrade: The expectation for second-quarter same-store sales to miss targets and compressed gross margins due to increased promotional activity led Boss to cut the target price by more than half to $70, indicating a pessimistic view on profitability.
- Poor Sales Performance: Ollie’s management indicated that unseasonable weather and surging fuel prices have pressured same-store sales, with Boss projecting a 1% decline in Q2 sales, significantly below the street consensus of 1.4% growth.
- Earnings Forecast Adjustment: Based on the anticipated sales decline, Boss lowered his Q2 EPS estimate by $1.04, forecasting a gross margin of 38.7%, which could negatively impact the company's financial outlook moving forward.
See More
US Stocks Decline as Oil Prices Surge
- Market Decline: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.79%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 1.44%, and the Nasdaq 100 index decreased by 0.61%, reflecting heightened investor caution following President Trump's declaration that the ceasefire with Iran is over, prompting a flight to safety.
- Surge in Oil Prices: WTI crude oil prices surged over 7% to a two-week high as the US launched strikes against Iran, raising concerns about potential disruptions to energy supplies and pushing inflation expectations higher, which in turn lifted the 10-year Treasury note yield to a 1.5-month high of 4.59%.
- Mortgage Applications Decline: US MBA mortgage applications fell by 2.2% in the week ending July 3, with the purchase mortgage sub-index down 0.6% and the refinancing sub-index down 4.1%, indicating that high interest rates are negatively impacting housing demand and could further suppress the recovery in the real estate market.
- Optimistic Earnings Outlook: Bloomberg Intelligence forecasts a 23% increase in corporate earnings for Q2, close to the 30% growth seen in Q1, indicating that AI infrastructure stocks are expected to contribute nearly 60% of the S&P 500's earnings-per-share growth, suggesting a positive long-term outlook despite short-term market volatility.
See More
U.S. Stocks Decline as Oil Prices Surge
- Market Decline: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.49%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.96%, and the Nasdaq 100 index decreased by 0.19%, reflecting investor concerns over escalating tensions in the Middle East, prompting a flight to safety.
- Oil Price Surge: WTI crude oil prices surged over 4% to a two-week high following U.S. military strikes against Iran, raising fears of potential disruptions in energy supplies and further boosting inflation expectations.
- Mortgage Applications Drop: U.S. MBA mortgage applications fell by 2.2% in the week ending July 3, with the purchase mortgage sub-index down 0.6% and refinancing down 4.1%, indicating the negative impact of high interest rates on housing demand.
- Optimistic Earnings Outlook: Bloomberg Intelligence forecasts a 23% increase in corporate earnings for Q2, close to the 30% growth seen in Q1, indicating that AI infrastructure stocks will drive S&P 500 earnings-per-share growth, reflecting market confidence in tech stocks.
See More
Market Turbulence and Corporate Developments to Watch
- Market Sell-off: Dow futures are down 400 points, with S&P and Nasdaq futures also sharply lower, reflecting investor anxiety over escalating tensions in Iran, which could impact short-term trading strategies and overall market sentiment.
- Apple's Chip Investment: Apple has announced a chip supply deal with Broadcom worth over $30 billion, expected to produce 15 million American-made chips, marking its largest U.S. manufacturing commitment to date, which will enhance supply chain stability and technological independence.
- Analyst Rating Changes: Old Dominion Freight Line was upgraded to buy from hold by Wells Fargo, as analysts see a rebound in the freight cycle; despite concerns that much of this optimism is already priced in, they recommend maintaining a positive outlook on the stock.
- AT&T's Outlook Concerns: Wells Fargo initiated coverage of AT&T with a sell rating and a price target of $18, indicating nearly 15% downside, as analysts worry about competition from SpaceX's Starlink in broadband internet, which may lead to further stock declines and reflects market skepticism about its growth prospects.
See More
Latest Wall Street Ratings Overview
- Viking Holdings Rating: BMO initiates coverage of Viking Holdings (VIK) with an Outperform rating and a $115 target price, indicating confidence in the company's future growth despite its high valuation.
- Apple's Sustained Growth: Bernstein reiterates Apple as Outperform, noting a 2% YoY increase in May iPhone sales, with nearly all markets showing positive growth, particularly in Japan and emerging markets, highlighting Apple's competitive strength globally.
- Optimistic Tesla Outlook: Goldman Sachs maintains a neutral rating on Tesla, anticipating that the upcoming earnings report will exceed market expectations, supported by strong second-quarter delivery numbers, reflecting the company's ongoing appeal in the electric vehicle market.
- Pinterest Engagement Growth: DA Davidson initiates a Buy rating on Pinterest with a $26 price target, emphasizing the company's consistent growth in user engagement over the past ten quarters, showcasing its strong performance in the social media sector.
See More
Kimberly-Clark Faces Input Cost Challenges
- Increased Cost Pressure: Kimberly-Clark indicated during its Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings call that if oil prices average $100 per barrel in the second half of fiscal 2026, it could face an additional gross input cost of approximately $150-$170 million, reflecting the company's cautious outlook amid ongoing uncertainties.
- Sustained Productivity Gains: The company has consistently achieved a 6% gross productivity increase over the past two years, reaching this target again in Q1 of fiscal 2026, demonstrating its strong execution in cost management and operational efficiency, which helps mitigate rising input costs.
- Supply Chain Investment Progress: Kimberly-Clark is advancing its previously announced $2 billion investment in its North American supply chain as planned, aimed at supporting long-term operational priorities, which will enhance the company's overall operational capabilities and market competitiveness.
- High Contract Coverage: Approximately 80% of Kimberly-Clark's overall cost basket is covered through contractual arrangements and other cost management measures, which not only increases visibility into input costs but also supports a disciplined approach to cost management, ensuring the successful implementation of its long-term margin expansion plans.
See More
