Moderna's Flu Vaccine Receives FDA Advisory Support
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 18 2026
0mins
Source: stocktwits
Moderna Inc's stock fell 9.66% as it crossed below the 5-day SMA amid broader market declines, with the Nasdaq-100 down 0.48% and the S&P 500 down 0.35%.
The company's mRNA-1010 influenza vaccine received a 9-0 vote of support from the FDA's Vaccines Advisory Committee, indicating its benefits outweigh risks for older adults. The FDA has accepted the Biologics License Application for mRNA-1010, with a PDUFA goal date of August 5, 2026, suggesting a clearer timeline for market launch that could provide new revenue streams for Moderna.
This positive regulatory news could enhance Moderna's market position, especially among older demographics, as it prepares for a potential launch of its influenza vaccine, which may attract more healthcare institutions focused on elderly health.
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Analyst Views on MRNA
Wall Street analysts forecast MRNA stock price to fall
20 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
16 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 81.800
Low
17.00
Averages
32.47
High
63.00
Current: 81.800
Low
17.00
Averages
32.47
High
63.00
About MRNA
Moderna, Inc. is a biotechnology company advancing a new class of medicines made of messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). It is engaged in developing medicines across infectious disease vaccines, oncology therapeutics and rare disease therapeutics. Its platform incorporates advances across three components, mRNA, delivery, and the manufacturing process, to advance its medicines. Its products are Spikevax and mNEXSPIKE (its COVID vaccines), and mRESVIA (its vaccine against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)). It also has a diverse development pipeline that consists of 35 therapeutic and vaccine programs, six of which are in late-stage development. It has regulatory filings under review for its seasonal flu+COVID vaccine (mRNA-1083) in Europe and Canada and for its seasonal flu vaccine (mRNA-1010) in the United States, Europe, Canada and Australia. Its rare disease programs are Propionic acidemia (mRNA-3927); Methylmalonic acidemia (mRNA-3705), and Cystic Fibrosis (mRNA-3692/VX-522).
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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See More
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- Annual Earnings Outlook: Analysts expect Moderna to report a loss of $2 per share in its upcoming earnings report, yet this reflects a year-over-year growth of 6.1%, showcasing the company's resilience amid challenges.
- Revenue Forecast: The Zacks consensus estimates revenue of $114.89 million for the quarter, down 19.09% year-over-year, indicating concerns about product demand; however, annual revenue is projected to grow by 6.64% to $2.07 billion.
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See More
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- Improving Financials: In Q1 2026, Moderna generated $389 million in revenue, a significant increase from $108 million a year earlier, and while still posting a net loss, the company has approximately $7.5 billion in cash and investments to support its research pipeline.
- Vaccine Approval Progress: An FDA advisory committee voted 9-0 to recommend approval for Moderna's seasonal flu vaccine, with a final decision expected in August, which could serve as a major near-term catalyst for stock price appreciation.
- Long-Term Growth Potential: Management targets up to 10% revenue growth in 2026 and aims for cash breakeven by 2028; if several late-stage programs reach the market, Moderna could evolve into a more diversified biotechnology company, significantly enhancing its long-term investment appeal.
See More
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- Breakthrough Cancer Drug: Revolution Medicines reported unprecedented survival rates for its cancer drug Daraxonrasib in phase 3 trials and plans to submit for regulatory review; while Wall Street anticipates only a 2% price increase in the coming months, the drug's potential market impact is substantial.
- Axsome's Growth Drivers: Axsome Therapeutics is expected to see a 13% price increase over the next year, driven by the approval of its drugs Auvelity and Symbravo, with ongoing phase 3 trials across five treatment areas that could lead to explosive earnings growth if successful.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Despite overall market pressures from turmoil in Iran and rising oil prices, biotech stocks have thrived as investors shift towards new opportunities, reflecting strong demand and confidence in innovative therapies.
See More
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- Revolution Medicines Breakthrough: Revolution Medicines reported significant results in phase 3 trials for its cancer drug, daraxonrasib, showing a median survival of 13.2 months in previously treated metastatic pancreatic cancer, far exceeding chemotherapy's 6.7 months, with plans to submit for regulatory review, indicating substantial future growth potential.
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- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the latest share price to the 200-day moving average provides valuable insights for investors, aiding in market trend assessment and potential buying opportunities.
- ETF Unit Trading Mechanism: ETFs trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting liquidity and market performance.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), assessing their impact on underlying assets.
See More
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- FDA Vote Impact: Moderna's mRNA flu vaccine received a 9-0 vote of support from the FDA advisory panel, with a final approval expected by August 5, propelling the stock price up over 70% in a month to a yearly high of $79.76.
- Market Expectation Discrepancy: Despite the significant stock surge, the average analyst price target remains around $45, indicating a stark contrast between market sentiment and analyst forecasts regarding the company's growth potential, particularly concerning the flu vaccine's market viability.
- Diversification Strategy: At its Science Day in late June, Moderna outlined three commercial franchises, including infectious disease vaccines, personalized cancer therapies, and rare disease treatments, signaling a strategic shift to reduce reliance on COVID vaccines, although flu vaccine sales are not expected to contribute significantly in the near term.
- Strong Financial Position: As of the first quarter, Moderna reported $7.5 billion in cash and investments, providing ample funding for its pipeline development even as sales remain below pandemic peaks, thus offering the company time to validate its new product offerings in the market.
See More
