On Holding AG underperforms amid ETF weakness
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 06 2024
0mins
Source: 144
On Holding AG's stock fell 6.2% as part of the Baron First Principles ETF's weak performance, which is down approximately 3.7% in recent trading.
The ETF's decline reflects a cautious market outlook, with On Holding being one of its weakest performers. This situation may lead investors to reassess their portfolios, impacting future financing and growth opportunities for the company.
The ongoing weakness in the ETF could have broader implications for investor sentiment in the tech and innovation sectors, potentially affecting On Holding's stock performance in the near term.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy ONON?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on ONON
Wall Street analysts forecast ONON stock price to rise
21 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
2 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 36.870
Low
30.00
Averages
60.79
High
85.00
Current: 36.870
Low
30.00
Averages
60.79
High
85.00
About ONON
On Holding AG is a Switzerland-based company active in athletic sports accesories industry. The Company provides footwear and sports apparel and is engaged in developing and distributing performance sports products, through independent retailers and global distributors. The Company sells its products trough the internet and its own stores.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Rivian's New SUV Challenges Tesla's Market Dominance
- Tesla Sales Figures: In Q2 2023, Tesla produced 451,758 vehicles and delivered 480,126, exceeding the market expectation of 406,600, yet the stock price fell, indicating concerns over its $1.5 trillion valuation.
- Rivian's New Model Launch: Rivian has introduced the mid-market SUV R2, directly targeting the Tesla Model Y, marking a strategic shift from high-end to mid-market, potentially attracting a broader consumer base.
- Shifting Competitive Landscape: With 96.9% of Tesla's sales coming from Model 3/Y, Rivian's previous focus on high-priced R1 models limited its market reach; the R2's launch allows it to compete more effectively in the larger SUV segment.
- Financial Condition Analysis: Rivian currently holds approximately $4.8 billion in cash but is expected to burn through about $9 billion before achieving positive cash flow, suggesting a need for dilutive financing in the future, increasing investor risk.
See More
BTIG Optimistic on Stock Performance for H2 2026
- Market Rebound Trend: BTIG believes that the rallies from the past six months will continue to push stocks higher, particularly in sectors like financials, healthcare, and industrials, which have shown strong performance since mid-May, indicating sustained market confidence.
- Selected Stock Picks: BTIG's latest report names 55 large- and small-cap stocks as top picks for the second half of 2026, reflecting confidence in diverse investment opportunities across the market.
- Optimistic Outlook for On Holding: Despite a more than 20% drop in stock price in 2026, analysts project a price target of $70 for On Holding, indicating a potential 90% upside from Thursday's close, highlighting its strong growth potential in the retail sector.
- Capital One Integration Potential: Although Capital One Financial has underperformed in 2026, analysts see a price target of $259, suggesting a 26% upside, with expectations that effective integration of Discover and Brex acquisitions will lead to revenue and cost savings.
See More
Nike's Earnings Report Indicates Business Stabilization
- Revenue Performance: Nike's fourth-quarter revenue reached $11 billion, down 1% year-over-year but slightly exceeding market expectations of $10.85 billion, indicating some market resilience amid challenges.
- Gross Margin Stabilization: Although gross margin fell by 10 basis points to 40.2% due to tariff issues, the stabilization after several quarters of decline suggests potential for future growth.
- Reduced Advertising Spend: Nike's selling, general, and administrative expenses decreased by 2% to $4.08 billion in the fourth quarter, reflecting a cautious approach to advertising spending, although future demand creation expenses are expected to rise due to World Cup investments.
- Wholesale Revenue Growth: Nike's wholesale revenue in North America increased by 10%, and Foot Locker's comparable sales and revenue achieved positive growth for the first time in four years, indicating improved relationships with wholesale partners that may lay the groundwork for future sales growth.
See More
Nike's Quarterly Performance Mediocre, Stock Rebounds
- Slight Revenue Decline: Nike's Q4 revenue fell 1% year-over-year to $11 billion, slightly exceeding estimates of $10.85 billion, indicating ongoing challenges in a volatile macro environment and a dim outlook for future growth.
- Gross Margin Stabilization: With a one-time windfall of $986 million, Nike's gross margin dipped 10 basis points to 40.2%, suggesting that after several quarters of steep declines, this key metric is stabilizing, potentially laying the groundwork for future profitability.
- Reduced Advertising Spend: The company's selling, general, and administrative expenses decreased by 2% to $4.08 billion in Q4, reflecting a contraction in advertising spending, which may impact brand visibility but helps improve short-term financial health.
- Wholesale Sales Recovery: Nike's wholesale revenue in North America rose by 10%, and Foot Locker reported positive comparable sales and revenue for the first time, indicating that efforts to repair relationships with wholesale partners are paying off and may support future sales growth.
See More
Nike Expected to Report Eighth Straight Quarter of Declining Profits
- Profit Decline: Nike is expected to report its eighth consecutive quarter of declining profits, with revenue rising only 1% in the first three quarters and earnings per share down 32% to $1.38, indicating significant operational challenges amid fierce competition and weak consumer spending.
- Margin Outlook: Although management anticipates a return to gross margin expansion by Q2 of fiscal 2027, the gross margin has fallen by 250 basis points to 41% due to tariff impacts and inventory clearance, which will continue to exert pressure on future profitability.
- Executive Transition Risk: CFO Matthew Friend will step down on August 17, replaced by David Denton, former CFO of Pfizer, and such management changes may signal internal issues within the company, prompting investors to remain cautious.
- Intensifying Market Competition: Nike faces increasing competition from brands like On Holding and Deckers, compounded by nationalistic consumer sentiment and declining wholesale demand in China, with revenue in Greater China expected to drop by 20%, further impacting the company's market share and growth prospects.
See More
Nike Faces Sales Decline and Management Changes Ahead of Earnings Report
- Sales Decline: Nike's revenue has only risen 1% over the past three quarters, while profits have plummeted, with gross margins falling 250 basis points to 41%, indicating severe market challenges amid intense competition and weak consumer spending.
- Management Changes: CFO Matthew Friend will step down on August 17, replaced by former Pfizer CFO David Denton, raising investor concerns about the company's strategic direction, especially given its poor performance.
- Pessimistic Market Expectations: Nike anticipates a 2%-4% revenue decline in Q4, with Greater China expected to see a 20% drop due to reduced wholesale demand and marketplace reset actions, highlighting the company's struggles to regain growth.
- Dividend and Profit Pressure: Although Nike offers a nearly 4% dividend yield, the significant profit decline makes it challenging to fund the dividend entirely from earnings, necessitating a clear path to profit stabilization and growth to reassure investors about the dividend's safety and support stock recovery.
See More
Rivian's New SUV Challenges Tesla's Market Dominance
- Tesla Sales Figures: In Q2 2023, Tesla produced 451,758 vehicles and delivered 480,126, exceeding the market expectation of 406,600, yet the stock price fell, indicating concerns over its $1.5 trillion valuation.
- Rivian's New Model Launch: Rivian has introduced the mid-market SUV R2, directly targeting the Tesla Model Y, marking a strategic shift from high-end to mid-market, potentially attracting a broader consumer base.
- Shifting Competitive Landscape: With 96.9% of Tesla's sales coming from Model 3/Y, Rivian's previous focus on high-priced R1 models limited its market reach; the R2's launch allows it to compete more effectively in the larger SUV segment.
- Financial Condition Analysis: Rivian currently holds approximately $4.8 billion in cash but is expected to burn through about $9 billion before achieving positive cash flow, suggesting a need for dilutive financing in the future, increasing investor risk.
See More
BTIG Optimistic on Stock Performance for H2 2026
- Market Rebound Trend: BTIG believes that the rallies from the past six months will continue to push stocks higher, particularly in sectors like financials, healthcare, and industrials, which have shown strong performance since mid-May, indicating sustained market confidence.
- Selected Stock Picks: BTIG's latest report names 55 large- and small-cap stocks as top picks for the second half of 2026, reflecting confidence in diverse investment opportunities across the market.
- Optimistic Outlook for On Holding: Despite a more than 20% drop in stock price in 2026, analysts project a price target of $70 for On Holding, indicating a potential 90% upside from Thursday's close, highlighting its strong growth potential in the retail sector.
- Capital One Integration Potential: Although Capital One Financial has underperformed in 2026, analysts see a price target of $259, suggesting a 26% upside, with expectations that effective integration of Discover and Brex acquisitions will lead to revenue and cost savings.
See More
Nike's Earnings Report Indicates Business Stabilization
- Revenue Performance: Nike's fourth-quarter revenue reached $11 billion, down 1% year-over-year but slightly exceeding market expectations of $10.85 billion, indicating some market resilience amid challenges.
- Gross Margin Stabilization: Although gross margin fell by 10 basis points to 40.2% due to tariff issues, the stabilization after several quarters of decline suggests potential for future growth.
- Reduced Advertising Spend: Nike's selling, general, and administrative expenses decreased by 2% to $4.08 billion in the fourth quarter, reflecting a cautious approach to advertising spending, although future demand creation expenses are expected to rise due to World Cup investments.
- Wholesale Revenue Growth: Nike's wholesale revenue in North America increased by 10%, and Foot Locker's comparable sales and revenue achieved positive growth for the first time in four years, indicating improved relationships with wholesale partners that may lay the groundwork for future sales growth.
See More
Nike's Quarterly Performance Mediocre, Stock Rebounds
- Slight Revenue Decline: Nike's Q4 revenue fell 1% year-over-year to $11 billion, slightly exceeding estimates of $10.85 billion, indicating ongoing challenges in a volatile macro environment and a dim outlook for future growth.
- Gross Margin Stabilization: With a one-time windfall of $986 million, Nike's gross margin dipped 10 basis points to 40.2%, suggesting that after several quarters of steep declines, this key metric is stabilizing, potentially laying the groundwork for future profitability.
- Reduced Advertising Spend: The company's selling, general, and administrative expenses decreased by 2% to $4.08 billion in Q4, reflecting a contraction in advertising spending, which may impact brand visibility but helps improve short-term financial health.
- Wholesale Sales Recovery: Nike's wholesale revenue in North America rose by 10%, and Foot Locker reported positive comparable sales and revenue for the first time, indicating that efforts to repair relationships with wholesale partners are paying off and may support future sales growth.
See More
Nike Expected to Report Eighth Straight Quarter of Declining Profits
- Profit Decline: Nike is expected to report its eighth consecutive quarter of declining profits, with revenue rising only 1% in the first three quarters and earnings per share down 32% to $1.38, indicating significant operational challenges amid fierce competition and weak consumer spending.
- Margin Outlook: Although management anticipates a return to gross margin expansion by Q2 of fiscal 2027, the gross margin has fallen by 250 basis points to 41% due to tariff impacts and inventory clearance, which will continue to exert pressure on future profitability.
- Executive Transition Risk: CFO Matthew Friend will step down on August 17, replaced by David Denton, former CFO of Pfizer, and such management changes may signal internal issues within the company, prompting investors to remain cautious.
- Intensifying Market Competition: Nike faces increasing competition from brands like On Holding and Deckers, compounded by nationalistic consumer sentiment and declining wholesale demand in China, with revenue in Greater China expected to drop by 20%, further impacting the company's market share and growth prospects.
See More
Nike Faces Sales Decline and Management Changes Ahead of Earnings Report
- Sales Decline: Nike's revenue has only risen 1% over the past three quarters, while profits have plummeted, with gross margins falling 250 basis points to 41%, indicating severe market challenges amid intense competition and weak consumer spending.
- Management Changes: CFO Matthew Friend will step down on August 17, replaced by former Pfizer CFO David Denton, raising investor concerns about the company's strategic direction, especially given its poor performance.
- Pessimistic Market Expectations: Nike anticipates a 2%-4% revenue decline in Q4, with Greater China expected to see a 20% drop due to reduced wholesale demand and marketplace reset actions, highlighting the company's struggles to regain growth.
- Dividend and Profit Pressure: Although Nike offers a nearly 4% dividend yield, the significant profit decline makes it challenging to fund the dividend entirely from earnings, necessitating a clear path to profit stabilization and growth to reassure investors about the dividend's safety and support stock recovery.
See More
