Major Averages Mixed at Noon, Nasdaq Declines
The major averages were mixed near noon, with only the Nasdaq in decline even after a strong Micron earnings report as investors move out of key tech stocks. Investors had started questioning whether the AI trade was losing momentum, but the latest chip demand signals are pushing the narrative back toward continued infrastructure expansion.Meanwhile, big banks are trading higher after the U.S. Federal Reserve said its annual bank stress test confirmed that large banks are well positioned to weather a severe recession and able to continue to lend to households and businesses. Several major lenders announced dividend increases or new buyback authorizations along with stress test results.Get caught up quickly on the top news and calls moving stocks with these five Top Five lists.1. STOCK NEWS:Micronreportedand provided upbeat Q4 earnings guidanceQualcommraised its FY29Multiple big banks, including JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Wells Fargo, announced new capital return plans, such as higher dividends and share buybacks, after theits stress test confirms large banks are "well positioned" for a severe recession scenarioMerck KGaABio-Technefor $73 per share in cashAppleison several MacBook and iPad products2. WALL STREET CALLS:Qualcommto Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley after investor day forecastsPVH Corp.to Underperform at BofA on high EMEA exposureIntelwith a Neutral at Goldman SachsBarclaysKeurig Dr Pepperon upside into separationMorgan StanleyAffirmto Equal Weight on "valuation call"3. AROUND THE WEB:Kalshi is in discussions to raise new funding at an approximately $40B valuation and could close the round as early as the third quarter of this year as it expands prediction market offerings and competes more directly with major derivatives and gambling companies, FT reportsAccording to a letter from the U.S. FDA, Amgen'sChemoCentryx personnel "manipulated" study data to make Tavneos, a pill made to treat a rare blood vessel disorder, appear more effective, Bloomberg saysAnduril Industries is in discussions to acquire Nissan Motor'sOppama assembly plant, Reuters reportsBlue Owl Capitalis in advanced talks to buy a minority stake in the NBA's Cleveland Cavaliers through the private equity firm's Blue Owl's Dyal HomeCourt Partners fund, Bloomberg saysBain Capital is slated to acquire a majority interest in Volkswagen'sEverllence marine engine business, FT reports4. MOVERS:BlackBerryincreases in New York afterand providing guidance for Q2 and FY27Kymera Therapeuticsgains after completing enrollment for itsAtaiBeckleyhigher after announcing itthe Russell 2000 and Russell 3000 Indexes at open on June 29Trip.comlower in New York afterand providing guidance for Q2Hive Digitalfalls after announcing aof exchangeable senior notes due 20315. EARNINGS/GUIDANCE:McCormickand backed its guidance for FY26Commercial Metals, with CEO Peter Matt commenting, "We continued to make great progress on our strategic agenda across a number of fronts"TD Synnexand provided guidance for Q3Acuity Brands, with CEO Neil Ashe commenting, "We demonstrated solid execution in our third quarter of fiscal 2026"Winnebago, with EPS and revenue missing consensusINDEXES:Near midday, the Dow was up 0.78%, or 401.92, to 52,250.82, the Nasdaq was down 0.42%, or 107.79, to 25,368.84, and the S&P 500 was up 0.18%, or 13.11, to 7,371.33.
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- Market Opportunity: Billions of devices are expected to run intelligent agents, driving Qualcomm's market share growth in edge computing, particularly in smartphones and IoT devices, thereby solidifying its leadership in the AI chip market.
- Industry Recognition: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang publicly praised Qualcomm during his visit to South Korea, advising investors to buy its stock, which reflects Qualcomm's expertise in mobile AI and may attract more investor interest.
- Product Innovation: Qualcomm is developing over 40 new AI-powered devices, with CEO Amon noting that AI agents will become the new apps, pushing the company to expand into wearables and autonomous agent markets, enhancing its product diversity.
- Strategic Partnership: The agreement with Meta will position Qualcomm in the data center CPU market, with the first product, Dragonfly C1000, expected to launch in 2028, marking a significant role for Qualcomm in hyperscaler infrastructure and further diversifying its revenue streams.
- Strong Market Performance: The S&P 500 rose by 0.72%, reaching a 2.5-week high, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.29%, setting a new all-time high, reflecting robust confidence in tech stocks and chipmakers.
- Supportive Economic Data: The US June ISM services index stood at 54.0, meeting expectations, with the employment sub-index rising to 51.2, surpassing the anticipated 48.2, indicating ongoing economic expansion that may alleviate Fed rate hike pressures.
- Optimistic Earnings Outlook: Bloomberg Intelligence forecasts a 23% increase in Q2 earnings, close to Q1's 30% surge, primarily driven by strong performance in AI infrastructure stocks, expected to contribute nearly 60% of earnings growth, further boosting market sentiment.
- International Market Fluctuations: While US stocks rose, European markets generally declined, with Eurozone May retail sales increasing by only 0.2%, below the expected 0.3%, highlighting uneven global economic recovery that could impact investor confidence.
- Chipmaker Rally: Chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks are leading the market today, with the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) up over 3%, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Western Digital (WDC) rising more than 9%, indicating a resurgence of confidence in tech stocks that could drive overall market gains.
- Service Sector Expansion: The US June ISM services index fell to 54.0, meeting expectations, and although the pace of growth has slowed, the employment sub-index rose to 51.2, surpassing the expected 48.2, suggesting that companies are still hiring amid easing cost pressures, potentially supporting economic growth.
- Strong Q2 Earnings Outlook: Bloomberg Intelligence forecasts a 23% increase in Q2 earnings, close to Q1's 30% growth, primarily driven by AI spending, which is expected to account for nearly 60% of S&P 500 earnings-per-share growth, providing an optimistic outlook for investors.
- International Market Volatility: While US markets show positive performance, overseas markets are generally declining, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.43%, reflecting global economic uncertainties that may impact investor sentiment.
- Market Performance: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose on Monday, continuing strong gains from last week, while the Dow traded lower after briefly surpassing the 53,000 level, indicating market volatility and investor caution.
- Partnership Extension: Broadcom announced it will extend its partnership with Apple through 2031 to continue supplying custom chips, which not only solidifies Broadcom's position as a key customer but also enhances Apple's supply chain resilience, likely benefiting both companies' future market performance.
- Qnity Stock Surge: Qnity shares jumped over 6% as chipmakers rebounded, buoyed by Deutsche Bank's optimistic forecast of 15% revenue growth, highlighting strong demand in the semiconductor sector and Qnity's potential as a key supplier.
- Rapid Trade Alerts: Stocks mentioned in the rapid-fire segment included Solstice Advanced Materials, T-Mobile, and Qualcomm, indicating Jim Cramer's charitable trust's positive stance on these stocks, with investors receiving alerts before trades to capitalize on market opportunities.
- Semiconductor Market Recovery: Chip stocks are rebounding this morning after last week's severe sell-off, with Apple and Broadcom agreeing to an expanded partnership that is expected to drive long-term growth in the semiconductor sector.
- SK Hynix IPO Plans: South Korean memory giant SK Hynix is looking to raise $28 billion through a Nasdaq listing, which, while maintaining its primary listing in South Korea, will enhance its capital access and broaden its investor base.
- Acquisition Impact: Solstice Advanced Materials is acquiring Element Solutions for $14.5 billion, creating a specialty chemicals powerhouse focused on the semiconductor industry, which will enhance its competitive position and industry consolidation capabilities.
- Airline Sector Benefits from Oil Price Drop: With traffic through the Strait of Hormuz resuming and U.S.-Iran peace talks underway, oil prices are nearing pre-war levels, which could benefit airlines significantly and help combat inflation.
- Micron Stock Surge: Micron Technology (MU) shares rose 2.6% in premarket trading after Citi placed an upside catalyst watch on the company, anticipating higher DRAM prices in the second half of 2026, reflecting positive market sentiment towards its future performance.
- Qualcomm Downside Risk: Conversely, Citi issued a downside catalyst watch on Qualcomm (QCOM) due to potential weakness in smartphone unit shipments, which may negatively impact its performance, leading to a 1.3% premarket increase in Qualcomm shares, although market sentiment remains cautious.
- Semiconductor Market Dynamics: Citi analysts believe concerns regarding Meta's potential entry into the cloud business are an “overreaction,” emphasizing that AI compute demand remains undersupplied, as evidenced by a 20% price hike in AWS EC2 GPU instances, indicating that DRAM shortages are the biggest constraint on compute supply.
- Other Chip Companies Outlook: Citi is optimistic about AMD (AMD) gaining GPU market share in the second half, and sees Texas Instruments (TXN) potentially benefiting from supplying power sockets to Nvidia (NVDA), showcasing a generally positive outlook for the semiconductor industry.











