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  4. Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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LNC
Lincoln National Corp
39.19 USD
+2.08%

Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.

Overview

The earnings call summary indicates positive financial performance with growth in annuities and retirement plan services, and stable margins in Group Protection. The Q&A section adds confidence with stable earnings drivers and plans for capital deployment, although some details were deferred to future calls. Despite minor concerns like modest margin decline and lack of immediate share repurchase details, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by strong earnings and market strategy. The absence of market cap data limits the precision of impact prediction, but the overall outlook suggests a positive trend.

Key Financial Performance

Adjusted Operating Income $397 million or $2.04 per share, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth. This includes a $2 million net benefit from the annual assumption review. The growth reflects broad-based momentum and disciplined execution.

Net Income $411 million or $2.12 per diluted share. The difference between net income and adjusted operating income was driven by a $151 million negative after-tax change in the fair value of GAAP embedded derivatives and a $324 million favorable after-tax impact within nonoperating income.

Annuities Sales $4.5 billion, a 36% year-over-year increase in fixed annuity sales and a 21% year-over-year increase in RILA sales. Growth was driven by diversification of the new business mix and strong profitability.

Life Insurance Earnings $54 million, a significant year-over-year improvement. Sales totaled nearly $300 million, with executive benefits accounting for 2/3 of the volume. Growth was driven by targeted product additions and strengthened distribution relationships.

Group Protection Premium Growth 5% year-over-year, driven by robust sales, strong persistency, and pricing discipline. Supplemental health increased 33% year-over-year. Earnings were in line with the prior year's record third quarter.

Retirement Plan Services Earnings $46 million, a 5% year-over-year increase. First-year sales were $2.4 billion, and total deposits increased 20% year-over-year. Growth was driven by strong sales momentum and a robust new business pipeline.

Alternative Investment Returns Annualized return of just under 10% or $101 million, slightly below the target by $2 million. This reflects continued strength across strategies.

Group Protection Earnings $110 million, consistent with the prior year's record third quarter. The margin for the quarter was 8.1%, reflecting a modest decline of 40 basis points year-over-year.

Annuities Operating Earnings $318 million, an $18 million year-over-year increase. Growth was driven by higher average account balances, net of reinsurance, and continued growth in spread income.

Retirement Plan Services Net Inflows $755 million, reflecting strong sales momentum and a robust pipeline. Account balances increased nearly 8% year-over-year.

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Operating Highlights

Annuities: Reported sales reached $4.5 billion, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of increased sales. Fixed annuity sales increased by 36% year-over-year, and RILA sales grew by 21% year-over-year. The company transitioned to fully retaining flows from fixed sales, enhancing spread-based earnings.

Life Insurance: Sales totaled nearly $300 million, with executive benefits accounting for two-thirds of the volume. The company has strategically shifted its business mix to emphasize products with higher margins and stable cash flows.

Group Protection: Achieved 5% premium growth year-over-year, driven by robust sales and strong persistency. Supplemental health products grew by 33% year-over-year.

Retirement Plan Services (RPS): First-year sales reached $2.4 billion, with total deposits increasing by 20% year-over-year. Net flows were positive, driven by strong sales momentum.

Operational Efficiency: Disciplined expense management resulted in relatively flat expenses year-over-year despite higher sales and volumes. Investments in digital tools and technology are enhancing productivity and customer experience.

Capital Position: Maintained an RBC ratio well above the 420% buffer, with excess capital being deployed to strategic initiatives such as retaining fixed annuity business and scaling the institutional funding agreement program.

Strategic Shifts: The company is pivoting towards higher-margin, capital-efficient growth by diversifying its product mix and optimizing its operating model. Investments in foundational capabilities and digital tools are positioning the company for long-term growth.

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Risk or Challenges

Regulatory Risks: The company acknowledges risks and uncertainties related to forward-looking statements, including those described in cautionary statements and SEC filings. These could impact financial results and operations.

Market Risks: The company faces potential impacts from lower interest rates on available-for-sale securities and market risk benefits, which could affect net income and financial stability.

Operational Risks: The company anticipates a sequential increase in expenses in the fourth quarter due to higher variable compensation and strategic investments, which could pressure profitability.

Mortality Risks: Slightly elevated mortality experience within the universal life block could impact life insurance earnings.

Disability Loss Ratio: The Group Protection business experienced an increase in the disability loss ratio due to unfavorable severity and lower LTD recoveries, which may continue to impact results.

Expense Management: While expenses are being managed effectively, anticipated higher sales volumes and strategic investments in the fourth quarter could lead to increased expenses.

Legacy Life Block Optimization: The company is evaluating actions to enhance long-term free cash flow from its legacy life block, which remains a critical objective but poses challenges.

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Guidance & Outlook

Revenue and Sales Growth: The company expects continued growth in annuities sales, with a focus on spread-based products such as fixed annuities and RILA. Fixed annuity sales increased by 36% year-over-year, and RILA sales grew by 21% year-over-year. The company plans to retain all fixed annuity flows, enhancing spread-based earnings over time. Retirement Plan Services (RPS) anticipates strong sales momentum, with first-year sales of $2.4 billion and positive net flows.

Profitability and Margins: The company is focused on increasing risk-adjusted returns on capital and reducing earnings volatility. Group Protection expects a full-year margin in the mid- to upper 8% range, representing a 50 basis point improvement year-over-year. The Annuities business aims to achieve stable, attractive returns through diversification and spread-based earnings growth.

Capital Deployment and Efficiency: The company plans to deploy excess capital over the next year to support strategic objectives, including retaining fixed annuity business and scaling the institutional funding agreement program. The transition to retaining fixed annuity flows is expected to enhance profitability over time.

Market Trends and Strategic Positioning: The company operates in expanding markets and aims to leverage its competitive strengths in distribution, product manufacturing, and customer service. Investments in digital tools and technology are expected to drive productivity and efficiency. The company is also focusing on higher-margin, capital-efficient growth areas.

Operational Enhancements: The company is investing in modernizing service models and advancing digital offerings to improve customer experience and operational efficiency. Strategic investments in technology and process improvements are expected to enhance long-term profitability.

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Shareholder Return Plan

Share Repurchase: Before we begin, I want to remind you that any statements made during today's call regarding expectations, future actions, trends in our businesses, prospective services or products, future performance or financial results, including those relating to deposits, expenses, income from operations, free cash flow or free cash flow conversion ratios, share repurchases, liquidity and capital resources are forward-looking statements under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

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Key Q&A

Q:What were the drivers of improved earnings in the Life insurance segment this quarter?
A:The improved earnings in the Life insurance segment were driven by stable mortality and alternative investment returns, increased net investment income, growth in the alternative investment income portfolio, and expense discipline. The third quarter earnings power reflects a stable environment for the big drivers of volatility, and year-over-year growth aligns with expectations.
Q:What is the company's stance on resuming a share repurchase program?
A:The company is tracking at or better than expectations across most metrics, including GAAP earnings, sales, free cash flow, and RBC. They plan to provide more details on capital deployment and shareholder returns during the fourth quarter earnings call.
Q:Is the mid- to upper 8% margin range for Group Protection a good starting point for future expectations?
A:Yes, the mid- to upper 8% margin range is a good starting point. While there is some normalization in disability resolutions and life loss ratios, the company expects continued premium growth, supplemental health expansion, and repricing to offset these trends. The overall outlook for Group Protection remains strong.
Q:Does the company believe the normalization in disability resolutions is related to the economy?
A:The company does not believe the normalization in disability resolutions is related to the economy. It attributes the changes to company-specific initiatives, such as improved claims management processes, and industry-wide factors like changes in the composition of claim inventory.
Q:Are there any statutory or ongoing GAAP impacts from the assumption review?
A:No, there are no material statutory or ongoing GAAP impacts from the assumption review.
Q:What is the expected impact of retaining the fixed annuity business on earnings?
A:Retaining the fixed annuity business will lead to growth in spread income over time as assets and liabilities emerge. In the near term, there will be slightly higher retained acquisition expenses, which is a headwind to annuities. The company plans to provide more detailed guidance in the fourth quarter outlook.
Q:What is the company's view on private credit and its potential growth?
A:The company feels comfortable with its private credit portfolio, which has stable credit quality and minimal credit losses. While underallocated compared to peers, the company plans to grow its private credit allocation thoughtfully, maintaining discipline in portfolio construction and risk management.
Q:What are the company's plans for optimizing the SGUL block?
A:The company is exploring both internal and external options to optimize the SGUL block, including repositioning the asset portfolio, improving the captive framework, and potentially executing another external deal. More details will be provided in the fourth quarter outlook.
Q:What are the company's strategies for increasing risk-adjusted ROE and reducing volatility?
A:The company is focusing on expanding products with stable cash flows and higher risk-adjusted returns, such as executive benefits, accumulation-focused life insurance products, supplemental health, and pooled employer plans. Investments in technology, distribution, and customer service are also supporting these objectives.
Q:What is the expected trend for Group Protection pricing and sales in the near term?
A:The Group Protection market remains competitive but rational. The company expects less activity in the annual cycle compared to last year, with improved persistency and continued prioritization of profitable growth over top-line growth.
Q:Review of Unclear Management Responses
A:Management avoided providing direct answers or detailed guidance on the following topics: 1) Specific details on the share repurchase program, deferring the discussion to the fourth quarter earnings call. 2) The exact size of the near-term drag from retaining the fixed annuity business, promising more details in the fourth quarter outlook. 3) Specific plans for optimizing the SGUL block, stating that exploration is ongoing and more information will be shared later. 4) Detailed sizing of dividends from subsidiaries like LNBAR, indicating that growth is expected over time but specifics were not provided.
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Earnings Word Cloud

The most frequently occurring keywords in this quarter's earning call
Annuities
Group
LTD
Life
Plan Services
Retirement Plan
ability
account balance
annuity
approach
assumption review
basis
benefit
block
capability
capital efficiency
capital position
core
distribution
effectiveness
expense
improvement
increase
investment grade
investment income
line
market segment
mix
mortality
outcome
period
portfolio
priority
profitability
result progress
return term
risk return
spread

LNC Transcript

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Unknown5-7

The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. Strong liquidity, improved leverage, and a high RBC ratio are positive, but concerns arise from management's vague responses, especially on PFML impact and alternative returns. The Q&A reveals market volatility's adverse effects on operations and a cautious growth strategy focusing on profitability over volume. Despite strong financial metrics, lack of clear guidance and potential risks lead to a neutral short-term stock price prediction.

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Positive2-12

The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial performance, with significant growth in sales and net income, improved margins, and successful capital management. Despite some uncertainty regarding specific guidance and external factors, the overall sentiment is positive due to robust earnings, strategic investments, and capital returns to shareholders. The company's strategic positioning and market trends further support a positive outlook.

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Positive10-30

The earnings call summary indicates positive financial performance with growth in annuities and retirement plan services, and stable margins in Group Protection. The Q&A section adds confidence with stable earnings drivers and plans for capital deployment, although some details were deferred to future calls. Despite minor concerns like modest margin decline and lack of immediate share repurchase details, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by strong earnings and market strategy. The absence of market cap data limits the precision of impact prediction, but the overall outlook suggests a positive trend.

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Positive7-31

The earnings call reveals several positive factors: improved margins, strong growth in first-year sales, and increased deposits in Retirement Plan Services. The Q&A highlights management's confidence in margin expansion and sales growth, despite some uncertainty in restructuring impacts. The partnership with Bain Capital and a strategic focus on digital capabilities are promising. Although there are some declines in annuities and retirement earnings, positive guidance and strategic moves outweigh these concerns, suggesting a positive stock price movement in the short term.

LNC Slides

PDF Lincoln National Q4 2025 slides: 31% earnings growth driven by Life Insurance rebound
2026-02-12
PDFLincoln Financial Q1 2025 slides: 14% earnings growth as strategic shift delivers results
2025-05-08

LNC Report

LINCOLN NATIONAL CORP 10-Q
10-Q
2024-05-02
LINCOLN NATIONAL CORP 10-K
10-K
2023-02-16

Frequently Asked Questions

Where does this earnings call transcript come from?

All transcripts are sourced directly from the official live webcast or the company’s official investor relations website. We use the exact words spoken during the call with no paraphrasing of the core discussion.

How soon is the transcript available after the earnings call ends?

Full verbatim transcripts are typically published within 4–12 hours after the call ends. Same-day availability is guaranteed for all S&P 500 and most mid-cap companies.

Is the transcript edited or altered in any way?

No material content is ever changed or summarized in the “Full Transcript” section. We only correct obvious spoken typos (e.g., “um”, “ah”, repeated 10 times”, or clear misspoken ticker symbols) and add speaker names/titles for readability. Every substantive sentence remains 100% as spoken.

Why do some answers appear as “Unclear” or “Inaudible”?

When audio quality is poor or multiple speakers talk over each other, we mark the section instead of guessing. This ensures complete accuracy rather than introducing potential errors.

Who creates the AI Summary and Key Q&A highlights shown above the transcript?

They are generated by a specialized financial-language model trained exclusively on 15+ years of earnings transcripts. The model extracts financial figures, guidance, and tone with 97%+ accuracy and is regularly validated against human analysts. The full raw transcript always remains available for verification.

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